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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Tune of the Day
Northern Shrike, Apache, Arizona, United States. “Two adults. Interacted with one another, vocalizing.”
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Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order (Rebel)
“Illinois election board dismisses 14th Modification case towards Trump, although an attraction is anticipated” [CNN]. “The Illinois State Board of Elections voted Tuesday to dismiss a problem to former President Donald Trump’s candidacy, however the choice just isn’t anticipated to be the ultimate phrase within the matter, with an attraction all however assured. The panel voted 8-0 on a bipartisan foundation to dismiss the problem, discovering that it didn’t have jurisdiction to adjudicate a posh constitutional dispute involving the 14th Modification…. The election panel accepted a suggestion from retired Decide Clark Erickson, who presided over an evidentiary listening to final week and concluded that the board isn’t legally empowered to undertake a posh constitutional evaluation of Trump’s potential culpability within the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot. Nevertheless, Erickson, a Republican, additionally concluded that, primarily based on the proof offered on the listening to, Trump did have interaction within the January 6 revolt and the 14th Modification would apply to him. He stated state courts – which have extra energy than the election board – ought to resolve Trump’s eligibility.” • I assume if Part Three is self-executing, it doesn’t matter who does the executing: Election officers, as Baude and Paulsen contemplated; or state courts, or whoever. I suppose if a State legislature wished to, they might arrange a magic board, and punt the choice over to them. Or, concept: How about sortition? Our militias are extra “well-regulated” than this.
“Baude and Paulsen Are Mistaken: Part 3 Has By no means Barred Anybody from Serving as President” [David Weisberg]. Weisberg is an “impartial” with out affiliation however I feel his argument is an effective one:
Baude and Paulsen make the textual mistake of ignoring the importance of the omission of the precise phrases “President or Vice-President” on the head of the listing of particularly barred federal places of work. If it had been meant that the presidency and vice presidency can be barred places of work, any affordable, competent, cautious, sober legislator would have drafted Part 3 to start with the phrases: “No individual shall be President or Vice-President, or a Senator or …”
[T]inheritor textual mistake ensures that Baude and Paulsen are blind to the coverage consideration underlying the deliberate omission of “President or Vice-President” from the listing of barred places of work. Elections for president and vice chairman are nation-wide in scope. Federal electors are elected in particular person States, however the president and vice chairman are elected solely after tallying the electors’ votes from each State all collectively. All of the particularly barred federal places of work entail elections restricted to particular person States.
The excellence between nation-wide elections and elections held in a single State is essential. Whereas unreconstructed insurgent voters would possibly represent majorities in particular person States that had previously seceded, the nationwide voters might by no means have been so constituted. Within the late 1860’s, the ratio of populations of States that had remained within the Union in contrast with populations of previously Accomplice States was virtually 5 to 1. Moreover, disloyal individuals have been particularly barred by Part 3 from serving within the electoral school. Thus, there was no purpose to disclaim the nationwide voters a superbly free alternative for president and vice chairman—it was not possible that unreconstructed insurgent voters would choose winners in a nation-wide election. That’s the reason Part 3, on its very face, by no means barred anybody from serving as president.
So Jefferson Davis was by no means inside hailing distance of the Oval Workplace, regardless of the hysteria of some liberal commentators.
The Constitutional Order (Invasion)
“Texas Gov. Abbott sends stark message to sanctuary cities as migrant disaster continues” [FOX]. Abbott: “Texas has transported over 102,000 migrants to sanctuary cities. Overwhelmed Texas border cities shouldn’t bear the brunt of Biden’s open border insurance policies. Our transportation mission will proceed till Biden secures the border.” Mission? Extra: “Former President Donald Trump on Thursday gave his backing to Abbott amid the latter’s feud with the Biden administration — urging states to ship their Nationwide Guards to the border and promising to work ‘hand in hand’ with the state to fight the ‘invasion’ if he’s inaugurated once more in January 2025.”
“Governor Abbott’s Perilous Effort at Constitutional Realignment” [Lawfare]. “Article I, § 10, Clause 3 is primarily an announcement of a number of issues that states might not do. It features a default rule that ‘[n]o State shall, with out the Consent of Congress, … have interaction in Warfare.’ It’s true that the ultimate clauses of Clause 3 create a restricted proper for states to reply to “invasions” in a approach that the clause in any other case denies them—particularly, the ability to “have interaction in Warfare” with out congressional consent when they’re ‘truly invaded” (or at imminent threat of the identical). The ‘Precise Invasion Clause,’ in different phrases, is an exception to the default prohibition on states’ war-engagement energy in Clause 3. In arguing that Clause 3 offers a federal constitutional foundation for its actions alongside the U.S.-Mexico border, Texas has superior two broader claims. The primary is that what’s at the moment occurring alongside the border meets the edge definition of ‘invasion.’ The second is that Texas can defend itself towards invasions with out regard to—and even in derogation of—federal legal guidelines and insurance policies. Neither argument is persuasive, however the second is really extraordinary.” Extra: “[E]ven in circumstances (not like in Texas right this moment) during which § 10 is relevant, it doesn’t give the state any energy to ‘supersede’ federal statutes. Abbott’s declare on the contrary—which he has but to check outdoors of briefing within the present lawsuits between the USA and the Biden administration—is a rare assertion of state supremacy over federal regulation. It misreads the textual content, goal, and historic understanding of how the Structure buildings federal and state relationships in the case of nationwide protection. And nonetheless sympathetic some could be to what Texas claims it’s making an attempt to do, have been courts to endorse these arguments, it might have ominous implications for nationwide safety far past the precise—and hotly contested—area of border safety.” • Good factor the Feds have been smart sufficient by no means to base nuclear weapons in Texas, eh? I just like the “Precise Invasion Clause”; a plain studying of the textual content contradicts Abbott, as I present right here, however there’s no query the Lawfare dudes added some spice (as one would anticipate; that is journal for practitioners).
“Texas’ Border Stunt Is Based mostly on the Similar Authorized Principle Accomplice States Used to Secede” [The Daily Beast]. “Abbott’s accusation that the federal authorities has breached the Structure by having ‘damaged the compact between the USA and the States’ is nearly an identical to South Carolina’s 1860 declaration of secession.” I don’t assume “virtually an identical” is appropriate, nevertheless it’s definitely price a click-through to see the Slave Energy pounding the desk. Extra: “Abbott’s letter espouses the perimeter principle of constitutional regulation generally known as ‘compact principle,’ popularized by Accomplice states through the Civil Warfare period and supported by Accomplice President Jefferson Davis. This principle posits that the USA was fashioned via a compact agreed upon by the states, with the federal authorities being a creation of the states. Nevertheless, this view conflicts with the broadly accepted social contract principle, which asserts that the federal authorities derives its authority from the consent of the individuals, not the states. The Supreme Court docket has persistently rejected compact principle, deeming it illegitimate and incompatible with constitutional regulation. On the crux of what’s occurring on the southern border lies the query: Does the federal authorities have the authority to control entry to Texas’ borders? The reply is unequivocally, sure. Texas’ embrace of compact principle and its assertion that state authorities can supersede federal authority instantly contradict the landmark Supreme Court docket case of McCulloch v. Maryland (1819).” • After all, this Supreme Court docket is totally able to turning up its nostril at any doctrine with the phrase “social” in it. However Abbots view is certainly “fringe,” even for Texas Republicans; see the views of the Texas Public Coverage Institute in Water Cooler of final week.
Can our European readers converse so far?
Its true. There’s an incipient constitutional disaster in the USA that’s having a direct impression on Europe’s Ukraine coverage and the European media is ignoring it, presumably as a result of its dangerous for Biden within the election. 🇺🇸 https://t.co/HjToSGue3c
— Philip Pilkington (@philippilk) January 28, 2024
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
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“Trump is working a disciplined marketing campaign. That ought to fear Democrats” [MSNBC]. “It’s unclear what’s driving the comparatively excessive functioning of Trump’s marketing campaign operation, in distinction to his previous campaigns and presidency. It’s unlikely that, at 77, Trump has had an epiphany on the significance of professionalism and a spotlight to element. What could also be at play is that Trump has turn into extra deeply enmeshed within the Republican Occasion equipment and extra attuned to the advantages of constructing relationships with its necessary gamers. He and his inside circle have turn into extra skilled with electoral politics, and he has extra connections to seasoned operatives. In different phrases, whereas Trump nonetheless presents himself as an outsider, he’s not working as an outsider anymore. We see that not solely in his efforts to return to the White Home, but in addition in his preparation for what he would do if he have been to return to it: The Heritage Basis, a Beltway assume tank, helps put together intensive plans for him to rent a military of sure males and radically reshape the federal paperwork in Washington from the day he enters workplace. It might be a mistake to imagine that Trump has struck upon a type of new, unerring self-discipline. He stays impulsive, fickle and inclined to rage-post on social media. His powers as a rhetorician could also be in decline as his speeches develop ever extra discursive and his agenda is ever extra outlined by a thirst for private vengeance. Whereas the going is simple for him now, his common election marketing campaign can be a way more complicated effort and extra prone to develop unstable as Election Day nears and stress mounts.” • Cope.
“Trump’s Inflection Level Started The place No One Was Trying: East Palestine” [RealClearPolitics]. “The sleet and rain have been unforgiving right here on Feb. 22, 2023, the day former President Donald Trump got here to this small Columbiana County village. Regardless of the climate and considerations about what was within the air or what sort of chemical was lurking within the swimming pools of mud they have been strolling in, people by the a whole bunch lined up alongside Foremost Avenue as Trump’s motorcade, full of state and native regulation enforcement, sirened its approach into city…. For those who had visited right here for weeks — as I had, reporting in regards to the catastrophe — you understood, greater than anything, that the individuals right here wished to know that these in energy would assist them…. [T]he individual with essentially the most energy, President Joe Biden, had not come, nor would he ever…. Whereas the shift towards Trump within the polls wouldn’t occur for not less than a month after his go to right here — he began gaining steam in March when information broke of the indictment from the Manhattan district legal professional — I wrote down in my rain-smudged reporter’s pocket book that day that if he is ready to resurrect the magic of 2016, understanding the forgotten man and lady and the dignity of labor, it began right here, the day he confirmed up when Biden refused.” • Possibly so. What is evident from this story: “[P]eople right here wished to know that these in energy would assist them.” I feel that’s a broad-based want, or hope, or train in wishful pondering throughout the political spectrum. It’s definitely true for me on Covid. And whereas I don’t assume a lot of Abbott and his Confderate Constitutional theorizing, I can perceive why Texas border cities would have precisely the identical want.
“Tim Scott to function key Trump surrogate amid push for Black voters” [The Hill]. “Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) is poised to play a key function in former President Trump’s marketing campaign as Trump and the GOP look to spice up assist amongst Black voters. Scott has been a fixture on Trump’s stage since dropping his 2024 bid late final 12 months, spurring hypothesis he might be Trump’s vice chairman choose. He additionally drew scrutiny lately over remarks defending Trump’s insurance policies concerning race. The South Carolina senator’s public assist of Trump comes as Republicans have lately made a concerted effort to attraction to extra Black voters, lengthy seen as a core constituency for Democrats. ‘He definitely brings lots to the desk,’ Brian Seitchik, GOP strategist and Trump marketing campaign alum, instructed The Hill. ‘He’s a substantive individual. He’s very conservative, with robust ties into the African American group.’” • Commentary:
JUST IN: Snoop Dogg says he now has “nothing however love and respect” for Donald Trump.
Wow.
The feedback got here throughout an interview with The Occasions.
“Donald Trump? He ain’t finished nothing fallacious to me. He has finished solely nice issues for me.”
Snoop particularly pointed to how Trump… pic.twitter.com/Ug1wwjtaAS
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) January 28, 2024
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“Mayorkas lashes out at ‘baseless’ GOP allegations forward of key impeachment vote” [FOX]. “Mayorkas’ letter comes after Republicans have traded barbs with Democrats and the administration over the impeachment push towards the Biden cupboard secretary, who Republicans have accused of a “dereliction of obligation” in his dealing with of the continuing and historic disaster on the southern border. Migrant numbers formally hit 302,000 in December, a brand new file, after 2.4 million encounters in FY23. Republicans have stated that giant releases into the inside and a rolling again of Trump-era insurance policies have fueled the disaster.” • I hate that phrase “baseless.” Too many “s” sounds!
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“Trump staff made ‘early on’ makes an attempt to recruit RFK Jr. as former president’s working mate: report” [FOX]. “Folks near former President Donald Trump made makes an attempt to recruit Robert F. Kennedy to function his working mate, in accordance with a report which was subsequently denied by Trump’s staff. Citing a supply in Trump’s orbit who’s accustomed to the matter, the New York Publish reported that folks near the previous president made “preliminary overtures” to Kennedy, a former Democrat candidate now working as an Unbiased, about the potential of him serving as Trump’s working mate within the 2024 presidential election. ‘Trump operatives expressed an curiosity in Kennedy early on, nevertheless it was all untimely,’ one individual accustomed to the matter instructed the outlet, including that it was ‘proper out of the field when Bobby introduced’ in April 2023 that he was making a run for the White Home.” • There’s just one “Bobby,” and that Bobby ins’t Junior.
“Measles circumstances anticipated to unfold cross-country resulting from vaccination gaps, excessive journey” [KRCG]. Thanks for doing all your bit, Junior:
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Republican Funhouse
“Home Republicans poised to torpedo GOP’s greatest probability in years to go border invoice” [The Hill] .
Democrats en Déshabillé
“The Anti-Democratic Motion Focused Ralph Nader First. We Ought to Have Paid Extra Consideration” (unlocked) [Matt Taibbi, Substack]. The deck: “The latest poll entry challenges, political investigations, and canceled primaries are simply an extension of a phenomenon we must always have seen coming twenty years in the past.” Extra: “Democrats confirmed nice creativity when in search of methods to maintain Nader off the poll, however virtually none when it got here to analyzing doable causes it could be underperforming. Kerry in 2004 was fatally flawed as a result of he had no place on this central problem of the marketing campaign, the Iraq struggle. He tried concurrently to be towards it (‘Invading Iraq has created a disaster of historic proportions‘) and for it (pledging to ‘search out and kill the terrorists‘), whereas working all 12 months from the truth that he voted for Bush’s struggle decision. This complicated non-position not solely created a transparent rationale for a third-party run in a 12 months when assist for the struggle dropped as little as 45%, it was a significant component in Hillary Clinton’s 2016 common election loss, when Donald Trump gained 57% of navy households vs Clinton’s 39%. Had the celebration proven a fraction of the spine on the Iraq problem through the essential October 2002 vote that it confirmed in bollocking Nader all via the 2004 cycle, it’s doable Trump by no means would have been president.” And: “Twenty years and a number of political upheavals later, the Democrats are taking the sabotage recreation it performed in 2004 up a notch or ten. It’s taken the place that every one of Joe Biden’s potential challengers throughout the celebration and with out are, in impact, new Naders, whose presences are “distorting” the actual election. The most important distinction between 2004 and now’s that because of main modifications in each the Democratic and Republican events, present Democrats have the cash and institutional capability to try a authorized marketing campaign to “Naderize” even the doubtless GOP nominee, Trump, primarily in search of to ballot-block their strategy to victory.” • Effectively price a learn, and mark properly that as I’ve lengthy urged: The distinctive competence of the fashionable political celebration is management of the poll. (I simply hope Taibbi will get off the bed with Bhattacharya* earlier than he will get confused, and thinks the cash on the dresser is for him. Decrying censorship is one factor; treating the GBD crowd as something apart from Koch-funded eugenicist weasels is kind of one other. NOTE * Battacharya just isn’t a “actual scientist. He’s an economist, ffs.) Commentary:
55% of Ivy League graduates consider that the U.S. “offers an excessive amount of particular person freedom” in contrast with simply 16% of extraordinary U.S. voters. pic.twitter.com/32Y3rRRS5K
— Rob Henderson (@robkhenderson) January 28, 2024
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Spiritual ‘Nones’ are actually the biggest single group within the U.S. [NPR]. “A brand new examine from Pew Analysis finds that the religiously unaffiliated – a gaggle comprised of atheists, agnostic and those that say their faith is ‘nothing particularly’ – is now the biggest cohort within the U.S. They’re extra prevalent amongst American adults than Catholics (23%) or evangelical Protestants (24%). Again in 2007, Nones made up simply 16% of People, however Pew’s new survey of greater than 3,300 U.S. adults exhibits that quantity has now risen dramatically…. “We all know politically for instance,” Smith says, ‘that non secular Nones are very distinctive. They’re among the many most strongly and persistently liberal and Democratic constituencies in the USA.’ And that would change electoral politics within the coming many years. The political energy of white Evangelicals has been well-reported in latest many years, however their numbers are shrinking whereas the variety of the extra liberal Nones is on the rise. Nevertheless, Smith factors out that Nones are additionally much less civically engaged than those that establish with a faith – they’re much less prone to vote. So, whereas they establish as Democrats, getting them to the polls on election day might show to be a problem.” • Humorous how Christianity took a success when the Christianists went into politics. I might be stunned if the development didn’t begin with the Bush Administration. “In The Proper Man: The Shock Presidency of George W Bush, the previous Bush speechwriter David Frum tells of how nearly the primary phrases he heard have been: ‘Missed you at Bible examine.’ The comment, it ought to be stated, was not addressed to Frum, who’s Jewish, however to the chief speechwriter Michael Gerson.” • As, Bibles in hand, the Bushies tortured and bombed their strategy to catastrophe. And talking of realignment and David Frum:
Readers: I’ve had a criticism that the display photographs I make of Twitter threads and paperwork should not readable. I don’t perceive this, as a result of I assumed *.PNGs, versus *.JPGs, have been speculated to scale with out jaggies (and in any case they appear wonderful on my Mac, or I wouldn’t be utilizing them within the first place). I simply tried a web-based sharpening instrument which in actual fact added jaggies. Ideas? Instruments?
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
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Search for the Helpers
Guerilla public well being communication, since CDC has given up:
For those who’re not masking this if doubtless what’s in retailer for you within the not-too-distant future. pic.twitter.com/0x4zBEcTG9
— Scott Squires (@scott_squires) January 30, 2024
I applaud the trouble, however I feel that the layered safety technique (a) saves extra lives (has higher efficicacy) and in addition (b) eliminates the moralizing facet of masks vs no masks (which I freely admit I’ve vociferously participated in):
Hey there #COVIDisNotOver mates. My spouse @mchristinebd and I put our heads collectively and made a flier about primary COVID-19 precautions – notably for small occasions/gatherings. All of the icons and whole flier are CC0/public area/free to make use of: https://t.co/mt1in24cHQ 🧵1/2 pic.twitter.com/E53FByHHLH
— 😷 Mark Dixon (@markdixontweets) January 30, 2024
Maskstravaganza
Concept: Why don’t we name respirators “Razor wire for Covid?” Certain, there can be an intracranial splatterfest within the liberal Democrat camp, however so what? They hate non-pharmaceutical interventions anyhow.
Censorship and Propaganda
“Why Covid Can By no means Be ‘Simply A Chilly’ [Nate Bear]. “I’ve stated it many instances earlier than, and it bears repeating time and again: most individuals didn’t get up someday and resolve to consider covid like a chilly. Folks didn’t go from being completely satisfied to isolate, check, masks, lock down, to being chill about coexisting with this virus. The normalising course of wasn’t natural, it was engineered… If covid is right here in 300 years, it gained’t be a chilly. Why? As a result of Sarscov2 infects cells within the human physique in a really totally different strategy to another virus that causes a chilly.” • Price studying in full.
Sequelae
“Altered mind connectivity in Lengthy Covid throughout cognitive exertion: a pilot examine” [Frontiers in Neuroscience]. From Strategies: “Purposeful MRI was acquired in 10 Lengthy Covid (LCov) and 13 wholesome controls (HC) with a 7 Tesla scanner throughout a cognitive (Stroop color-word) process.” From the Conclusion: “On this pilot examine of mind connectivity in Lengthy Covid, regardless of restricted topic numbers, now we have detected important variations from [healthy controls (HC)], largely in brainstem and salience community connections which might be necessary for the regulation of mind operate. Altered regulatory connections can have complicated penalties which will manifest because the signs of [Long Covid (LCov)]. Within the brainstem throughout the identical cognitive exertion, enhanced connectivity in LCov was reverse to the impaired connectivity in ME/CFS.” • Hmm.
Possibly it will do it; the specter of mind injury definitely hasn’t:
Tip of the iceberg: ERECTILE DYSFUNCTION and COVID-19(mega-thread) pic.twitter.com/Johyaa0bei
— Emmanuel (@ejustin46) January 30, 2024
Many research on the thread.
Elite Maleficence
“Find out how to Eat a Tire in a Yr” [David Sedaris, The New Yorker]. Filed underneath “Private Historical past”:
One in all Daybreak’s lungs collapsed when she was in her late fifties, so she was tremendous cautious about covid—stored her face coated lengthy after everybody else had returned to regular. We have been in Chicago collectively, at O’Hare, within the spring of 2022, after I instructed her she wanted to take it off.
“However—” she stated.
“Let it go,” I instructed her. “Everybody else has.”
I felt like a director coercing an actress to unhook her bra for a intercourse scene. “Come on,” I stated. “You are able to do this. Begin by simply . . . reducing it to your chin.”
She took off her masks, after which in fact instantly received covid—a nasty case, too. All my fault, however she’s by no means held it towards me.
Basic New Yorker! (“The Collapse of the Public Well being Institution is the Collapse of the Skilled-Managerial Class,” for whom The New Yorker is or was a type of fetish or totem).
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TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) for charts new right this moment; all others should not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] Even after a decline, we’re nonetheless increased than any of the surges underneath Trump.
[2] Slight enhance in MWRA wastewater knowledge, as of January 25, i.e. the incubation interval from the coed’s return:
[3] “As of Might 11, genomic surveillance knowledge can be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
[4] “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not your complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, not less than for its time interval, that Covid just isn’t seasonal, although CDC is making an attempt to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections. And naturally, we’re not even stepping into the standard of the wastewater websites that now we have as a proxy for Covid an infection total.
[5] Lower for town aligns with wastewater knowledge.
[6] “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] -0.7%. (It might be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and large peer stress, went and received examined anyhow.)
[8] Lambert right here: Proportion and absolute numbers down.
[9] Up, albeit within the rear view mirror.
Stats Watch
Employment Scenario: “United States Job Quits” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of job quits in the USA declined by 132,000 from the earlier month to three.392 million in December 2023, down from November’s revised determine of three.524 million and touching the bottom stage since January 2021.”
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At this time’s Concern & Greed Index: 74 Greed (earlier shut: 75 Excessive Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 70 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Jan 30 at 1:48:31 PM ET.
Rapture Index: Closes down one on earthquakes: “The dearth of exercise has downgraded this class” [Rapture Ready]. File Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 188. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is nice.) NOTE on #42 Plagues: “The coronavirus pandemic has maxed out this class.” Extra trustworthy than most! • What are they ready for within the Center East? A pink heifer?
Information of the Wired
“Why flying bugs collect at synthetic gentle” [Nature]. “Explanations of why nocturnal bugs fly erratically round fires and lamps have included theories of ‘lunar navigation’ and ‘escape to the sunshine’. Nevertheless, with out three-dimensional flight knowledge to check them rigorously, the trigger for this odd behaviour has remained unsolved. We employed high-resolution movement seize within the laboratory and stereo-videography within the area to reconstruct the 3D kinematics of insect flights round synthetic lights. Opposite to the expectation of attraction, bugs don’t steer instantly towards the sunshine. As an alternative, bugs flip their dorsum towards the sunshine, producing flight bouts perpendicular to the supply. Underneath pure sky gentle, tilting the dorsum in direction of the brightest visible hemisphere helps preserve correct flight perspective and management. Close to synthetic sources, nonetheless, this extremely conserved dorsal-light-response can produce steady steering across the gentle and entice an insect. Our steering mannequin demonstrates that this dorsal tilting is ample to create the seemingly erratic flight paths of bugs close to lights and is essentially the most believable mannequin for why flying bugs collect at synthetic lights.” • So we might consider the results of propaganda as a type of “dorsal tilting”? Anyhow, since I can’t forbear:
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Contact data for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of crops. Greens are wonderful! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! In order for you your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Judith:
Judith writes: “I noticed this snow individual (artist unknown) in entrance of the Cambridge (MA) public library and it made me smile.” Me too!
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not coated by the annual NC fundraiser. So if you happen to see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to specific your appreciation in tangible kind. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get frightened. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising targets:
Right here is the display that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
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