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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Tune of the Day
Horned Screamer, Hato El Milagro, Cojedes, Venezuela. ” Neotropical Institute Lower # 6. Bulk reel: 09 Climate: Honest. This can be identical pair however now in a special tree. (Observe the velocity of this can be barely off as @ finish I began to get the warning sign.) (Scardafella squammata in background.)” I couldn’t resist the title of the chook….
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Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order
“Challenges to Trump’s eligibility are murky at greatest. However there’s a clear solution to cease him” [Editorial Board, Boston Globe]. “A lot of authorized students and consultants from throughout the ideological spectrum, from the Federalist Society’s William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, to Harvard Regulation professor emeritus Laurence Tribe, to conservative retired decide J. Michael Luttig have argued that this provision in itself bars Trump from ever returning to the Oval Workplace. But to date, the challengers have been winless. Courts in Michigan and Minnesota have refused to order that Trump be faraway from major election ballots, both as a result of Congress has failed to talk on the matter or as a result of the choice to position nominees on the poll is as much as political events, not courts. However in Colorado, the challengers’ loss was much more probably disastrous. Whereas District Choose Sarah B. Wallace dominated that Trump did ‘have interaction in an revolt,’ as a result of Part 3 doesn’t clearly and unmistakably consult with the workplace of the presidency, she wrote, she couldn’t ’embrace an interpretation which might disqualify a presidential candidate.’ This idea — that the presidency is exempt from the disqualification clause — has been embraced by a rising variety of authorized consultants, together with Northwestern College legislation professor Steven Calabresi…. Even when a bunch of constitutional students and revered authorized leaders consider the difficulty is obvious minimize, because the three rulings which have been issued to date show, it’s something however. With the novel questions that these authorized challenges current, it will be foolhardy to consider that that is probably the most surefire solution to hold Trump out of workplace completely. There’s a particular approach to take action: on the poll field.” • Yep.
“President Trump Can Not Be Disqualified” [Steven G. Calabresi, Wall Street Journal]. From September 14, nonetheless germane: “Former U.S. Lawyer Normal Michael Mukasey’s op-ed “Was Trump ‘an Officer of america’?” (Sept. 8) has prompted me to vary my thoughts about an argument that I’ve had with Prof. Seth Barrett Tillman for 25 years. Mr. Mukasey is correct: Checked out within the context of the Disqualification Clause of the 14th Modification, the president is neither an ‘officer of america,’ nor, clearly, a ‘member of Congress.’ That should be why the Structure prescribes a separate oath for the president. Because of this, former President Donald Trump isn’t lined by the Disqualification Clause, and he’s eligible to be on the poll within the 2024 presidential election.” • A novel argument, and a few heartburning on it (see right here and right here). Calabresi is President of the Federalist Society.
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
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“Consultants weigh in on whether or not DeSantis’ Iowa technique might be sufficient to topple Trump: ‘Hail Mary’” [FOX]. “Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis lately earned two key Iowa endorsements as he continues to push marketing campaign assets into the state, a transfer that political consultants inform Fox Information Digital is an ‘all in’ technique as he seems to be to upset former President Trump in an uphill battle that might make or break his presidential ambitions subsequent 12 months. Shortly after receiving the endorsement of Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds, DeSantis was endorsed by influential Iowa evangelical chief Bob Vander Plaats who stated ‘there’s positively a shot that the previous president will be beat right here’ regardless of Trump main DeSantis by a minimum of 30 factors, in keeping with the Actual Clear Politics common, with simply over six weeks till the Iowa caucus…. DeSantis and his major Tremendous PAC, By no means Again Down, have poured a overwhelming majority of their assets into Iowa in a technique that GOP strategist Alex Conant, founding accomplice at Firehouse Methods, advised Fox Information Digital is a technique born out of ‘necessity’ and that acknowledges the ‘political actuality that if Trump wins Iowa’ it’s ‘arduous to see how he’s stopped anyplace.’” • In the meantime, again in Florida:
By what authority does the State of Florida have the flexibility to forge an “alliance” with a overseas nation? pic.twitter.com/kiZ5k7HEdF
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) November 27, 2023
I suppose this can play within the pulpits?
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“Positive, Joe Biden is fairly outdated: Pay attention, might you do what he’s doing?” [Salon]. “Wouldn’t it be splendid to have somebody youthful than 80? Positive it will. However that’s not actuality this time round. And that imaginary 45-year-old wouldn’t have the in depth institutional and overseas coverage expertise that Joe Biden has. The Democratic Get together has fairly a number of actually worthy (and maybe even charismatic) future candidates for the best workplace ready within the wings, gaining extra expertise in governing and serving all of the residents of their districts or states, not simply those who voted for them. However these candidates will want a liberal democracy in place (i.e., primary rule of legislation, assist for voting rights, willingness to compromise on insurance policies and acceptance of the peaceable switch of energy) for us to search out out what they will do to maneuver us ahead. In case you assume 80 is basically outdated — effectively, in some instances it’s. Folks generally die a lot youthful than that. Within the two months since I retired, I’ve misplaced two shut mates. However let’s record just some older people who find themselves nonetheless on the market killing it: Paul McCartney is touring once more and places on vigorous three-hour concert events (with out breaks). He turned 81 in June. Mick Jagger continues to be doing that chicken-strut factor he realized from Tina Turner, and celebrated his eightieth birthday in July. At 97, Mel Brooks is sharper (and loads funnier) than you or me. So is the wonderful Norman Lear, at 101. Many notable scientists, philosophers, poets, artists and other people in different demanding fields perform at a excessive stage, mentally and bodily, deep into their lives. Furthermore, emotional well-being tends to extend in outdated age, as private ambitions drop away and we enable ourselves the time to only be. (These findings don’t apply to individuals who by no means develop up, by the best way.) Biden stays lively, eats food plan, has social intelligence and consciousness of others’ wants, has diverse pursuits and solves complicated issues day by day — these, it appears, are the habits and traits of ‘tremendous agers.’ He’s buoyed by a loving spouse and household [dear Hunter!], as a result of he’s earned that love. (The Beatles would approve.)” • As an outdated codger myself — although not almost as outdated as Biden — I’m not unsympathetic. However in Biden’s case, and leaving the lengthy record of regarding incidents apart, I’m deeply suspicious of this “With age comes knowledge” narrative in Biden’s case. Exhibit 1: Ukraine, a warfare we’re about to lose. Exhibit 2: Gaza, a warfare we’ll by no means win. In addition to, a canine that bites folks says one thing in regards to the grasp, and what it says shouldn’t be “social intelligence.” Anyhow, Joe Biden owes me 600 bucks.
“Biden’s mishandling of paperwork, his household’s enterprise schemes threaten our nationwide safety” [James Comer, FOX]. “The Home Oversight Committee has obtained monetary data revealing the Biden relations, their enterprise associates and their associated corporations acquired important funds from people and firms in China, Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Romania. President Biden has repeatedly lied to the American folks about his information of and participation in his household’s enterprise dealings. Not solely did Joe Biden learn about his household’s enterprise dealings, however he was additionally concerned and financially benefited from them. Primarily based on witness testimony, then-Vice President Joe Biden spoke with Hunter Biden’s enterprise associates by cellphone a minimum of 20 occasions, dined with overseas oligarchs and a Burisma government who collectively wired thousands and thousands to the Bidens, and had espresso with Hunter Biden’s Chinese language enterprise accomplice in Beijing. The Home Oversight Committee additionally has traced financial institution data revealing that Joe Biden acquired $40,000 in proceeds from China within the type of a private test from his brother, James Biden and sister-in-law, Sara Biden. Even when this test was mortgage reimbursement from James Biden because the White Home asserts, it nonetheless exhibits how Joe Biden benefited from his household cashing in on his title – with cash from China no much less.” • On this article,Comer mixes up his glorious work on financial institution data with the separate monitor on labeled paperwork (which excite no person outdoors the Beltway. And I don’t care that Trump’s been charged with the identical stupidity, so this would possibly even the rating. Please can we for as soon as hold our speaking factors clear). Persist with the [family blogging] financial institution data and hammer on the timeline, my recommendation. On the very minimal, Hunter traded on his Father’s title, together with his Father’s information, with the outcome that the tributaries of the Biden clan have been periodically refreshed with money. Granted, none of this has the eerie, complicated great thing about the Clinton Basis, and it’s all mind-bogglingly petty and sordid, however how can it probably be OK? It’s a quite simple story: The Pastor’s household have their palms within the assortment plate. Promote that, ffs, and hold it easy!
“The polls hold getting worse for Biden” [Politico]. “The president’s standing in head-to-head matchups with Trump is falling: Among the many newest surveys this month from 13 separate pollsters, Biden’s place is worse than their earlier polls in all however two of them…. And whereas polls recommend a lot of the motion comes from voters abandoning Biden — who would possibly change into undecided however not swing to supporting Trump — the Republican has additionally began to achieve steam. Trump’s vote share within the nationwide polling common is larger now than at any level up to now 12 months. The state-level information are simply as placing: Along with these New York Instances/Siena polls, inside the final week and a half, different surveys have proven Trump forward by 8 factors in Arizona and 5 factors up in Michigan.” • Useful chart:
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“Senate rankings: 5 seats almost certainly to flip” [The Hill]. • West Virginia, Montana, Ohio, Arizona, Pennsylvania. Arizona and Pennsylvania are swing states too, apparently.
CA: “Race in open California district could possibly be pivotal to Home management” [Roll Call]. “The forty seventh district features a swath of southern California stretching alongside the Pacific from the retirement villages of Seal Seashore to the conservative enclaves of Huntington Seashore and Newport Seashore. It reaches to Irvine, the area’s quick rising and more and more various biotech and schooling hub…. Democrats are preventing to carry on to the southern California battleground — which is prone to play a key function in figuring out which celebration controls the Home — and are break up between state Sen. Dave Min and group activist Joanna Weiss. Beneath California’s guidelines, the highest two finishers — no matter celebration affiliation — within the March 5 major will seem on the November poll… [T]he GOP has its sights on the open seat within the forty seventh. The celebration’s hopes relaxation with Scott Baugh, a former member of the state meeting, who got here inside 3 proportion factors of ousting Porter in 2022, regardless of being outspent $26 million to $3 million.”
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“Democrats Race To Get Abortion on Swing State Ballots To Blunt Biden’s Sinking Ballot Numbers” [New York Sun]. “Democrats are racing to place abortion on the poll in 2024 after seeing victories on each state poll it’s been on for the reason that overturning of Roe v. Wade…. Along with Ohio, state poll measures have been profitable in California, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Montana, and Vermont since 2022’s Dobbs v. Jackson Girls’s Well being Group determination. … New York and Maryland have already got questions on the ‘24 poll to find out if every state will enshrine abortion into its structure. A sequence of comparable pro-abortion poll efforts are underway in states starting from Arizona and Colorado to Florida and Missouri, with traction coming in some states greater than others.” • Good factor we by no means codified Roe into laws!
Republican Funhouse
“The Blueprint” [Harold Myerson, The American Prospect]. “Earlier this 12 months, Venture 2025 revealed a 920-page manifesto referred to as Mandate for Management: The Conservative Promise, laying out its agenda for Trump or some other Republican who ought to win the White Home. The ebook consists mainly of the world’s longest enemies record, with detailed directions on the right way to goal them, oust them, and reverse their insurance policies, each actual and imagined.” One other approach of claiming that is that Republicans have all the time been a extra severe celebration than Democrats, a minimum of in my lifetime. Distinction Obama, who, for instance, rationalized and legitimized Bush’s felonious program of warrantless surveillance, and seemed ahead and never backward on torture. To be truthful, Obama in all probability didn’t take into account spooks “enemies.” Extra: “This isn’t the primary time Heritage has sketched out a blueprint for a conservative presidency. In 1980, the assume tank aided one other neophyte politician with revolutionary aspirations—Ronald Reagan—with a report, additionally referred to as Mandate for Management, that stretched to 1,100 pages and lined nearly each nook and cranny of presidency…. A subsequent version of Mandate for Management has been produced for each presidential election since 1980. This iteration, very a lot within the spirit of Trump, is lighter on coverage and heavier on retribution…. Heritage’s information of the federal emptiness course of turns into helpful. Beneath the Federal Vacancies Reform Act, for many federal businesses, a emptiness on the high signifies that the following obtainable deputy turns into the performing head. Venture 2025 sees a path to manipulating this legislation to make sure loyalists take management. ‘The place a profession worker holds a management place,’ explains Ken Cuccinelli, the previous performing deputy homeland safety secretary below Trump, ‘that place ought to be deemed vacant for line-of-succession functions, and the following eligible political appointee within the sequence ought to assume performing authority.’ Different authors name for political appointees to be put into the road of succession instantly, ‘chosen by the President-elect’s transition crew’ and ‘in place the primary day of the Administration.’ This gambit would hand over the executive state to these devoted to crushing it. That might mix with the restoration of Trump’s October 2020 ‘Schedule F’ order, which might reassign as much as 50,000 civil service employees with a designation that robs them of employment protections, making them simpler to terminate. So the management of government department businesses could be ideologues, and lots of bureaucrats below their care could possibly be fired at will.” • I’m imagining a CDC run by Nice Barrington sorts, right here; Jay Bhattacharya dousing a dumpsterfull of masks in gasoline and tossing a match, as a substitute of Maskless Mandy respiration bioeffluent throughout all people. I dunno. If he did that, perhaps America’s faculty cities would masks up, 100%, in a single day…..
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, evidently persons are truly studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I should try this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Get together (“the Democrat Get together is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Get together is, in actual fact, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Get together is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Get together is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Get together didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Get together fails to manipulate, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the aptitude to manipulate. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Get together reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Get together (ka-ching, however not totally) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.
Observe, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
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#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the tackle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
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Search for the Helpers
Gracious in victory:
You by no means know what would possibly occur in the event you strive.
An individual that has overtly mocked me for COVID precautions is taking care of sick youngsters…and had each window and door open, and a HEPA filter on.
I stated nothing.
I’m joyful for them.
— Dr Noor Bari (@NjbBari3) November 26, 2023
Maskstravaganza
Bubble, bubble, toil and bother:
Sporting an FFP3 masks protects you towards airborne pathogens and air pollution. 🫁
This masks was worn to a efficiency of Macbeth 🎭.
Different folks can have introduced this muck residence of their lungs, together with the actors who might be uncovered day by day….#WearAMask😷 pic.twitter.com/qEDjDfOAtx
— Clinically Susceptible Households 💙💜💗 (@cv_cev) November 25, 2023
Variants
You might not be all in favour of variants, however variants are all in favour of you. T. Ryan Gregory:
Sequelae
“Covid linked to lethal ailments, Parkinsons, Alzheimers, bowel illness” [News.com]. “As Australia enters its eighth Covid wave, researchers are warning of a potential hyperlink between Covid and a spread of devastating ailments equivalent to Parkinsons, Alzheimers in addition to auto-immune circumstances like bowel illness and rheumatoid arthritis. Greater than 10,000 Australians reported contracting the virus within the final seven days however the true determine could possibly be a lot bigger as it’s not a requirement to lodge a optimistic check with an individual’s state. Added to that new information revealed just one.9 million Australian adults have acquired a Covid vaccination within the final six months, and lots of of those might be approaching six months since their final an infection. However researchers are actually suggesting Aussies ought to be apprehensive not simply in regards to the impression of the virus within the brief time period — they need to take into account the way it would possibly impression them long-term.” • Nothing NC readers don’t know. However important that this message, a minimum of, has reached the mainstream.
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” may be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. A number of exceptionally nasty sequelae, almost certainly deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we’d add mind harm, together with persona modifications therefrom.
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Airborne AIDS?
When the primary researchers began to suggest that Covid would trigger AIDS like immune dysfunction, one of many predominant pushbacks was that since Covid had contaminated a lot of the inhabitants, we ought to be seeing surges of opportunistic infections & bacterial pneumoniae if that was true. https://t.co/cmZl4q7Cdb
— Stephanie Tait ♿️ (@StephTaitWrites) November 24, 2023
“Immune deficiency,” in any case….
Elite Maleficence
“Moderna is Spying on You” [Lee Fang, Unherd]. “[A]s demand for [Moderna’s] vaccinations has diminished, inevitably, so too have its earnings. This 12 months, its solely marketable product lies unused and the corporate has recorded steep losses…. A very powerful factor for Moderna is that folks hold having their jabs. Sensible advertisements are a part of that. However extra essential is to push again aggressively towards any prevailing anti-vax narrative and have interaction the place potential in any discussions round vaccine coverage. That’s the place the Moderna disinformation division is available in. Behind the scenes, the advertising and marketing arm of the corporate has been working with former legislation enforcement officers and public well being officers to watch and affect vaccine coverage. Key to this can be a drug industry-funded NGO referred to as Public Good Tasks. In keeping with paperwork now we have seen, PGP works intently with social media platforms, authorities businesses and information web sites to confront the ‘root reason for vaccine hesitancy’ by quickly figuring out and ‘shutting down misinformation.’ A community of 45,000 healthcare professionals are given speaking factors ‘and recommendation on the right way to reply when vaccine misinformation goes mainstream’, in keeping with an electronic mail from Moderna…. Regardless of the rising backlash towards social media censorship, the community of fact-checking nonprofits has grown at an industrial tempo, offering opaque alternatives for personal and public pursuits to take delicate management over the general public discourse. Such sophistication in mixing public-health messaging and company promoting ought to concern anybody with an curiosity in how authorities controls free speech.” • A parallel effort:
BREAKING: Fed-funded NewsGuard, which blacklists & demonetizes information shops for “COVID myths” & “anti vaccine misinformation,” is bankrolled by Publicis Groupe, which reps COVID vax maker Pfizer, and run by gen supervisor Matt Skibinski, whose father has labored for Pfizer for 20 yrs
— Paul Sperry (@paulsperry_) November 27, 2023
“US Division of Well being official who conspired with Anthony Fauci to downplay COVID lab-leak idea reveals ‘agonising’ over his actions” [Sky News]. “he former Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response on the US Division of Well being, Dr Robert Kadlec, has advised Sky Information he feels obligated to disclose confidential discussions he had with Dr Fauci, America’s high infectious ailments adviser, about diverting consideration away from the lab leak idea…. Dr Kadlec, who labored for presidents George W. Bush and Donald Trump and lead American efforts to develop a Covid-19 vaccine, stated his intention in initially downplaying a lab leak was to encourage co-operation from China within the early days of the outbreak….. Dr Kadlec felt that Fauci had different causes for desirous to divert consideration away from the Wuhan Institute of Virology. He stated Fauci was probably apprehensive about his repute if it eventuated that his company had funded the gain-of-function analysis that sparked the outbreak. ‘That might be a pure response of him or anyone, notably I feel, for him saying, what might this do to me and to our institute as a consequence if we have been discovered to have some culpability or some involvement on this?’” • Cf. Proverbs 28:1.
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Case Information
From BioBot wastewater information, November 27:
Lambert right here: Case counts shifting well upward (and tinfoil hat time: That is the, er, inflection level CDC was making an attempt to hide once they gave the contract to Verily and didn’t guarantee a seamless transition).
Regional information:
That Midwest near-vertical curve is regarding, though as ever with Biobot it’s a must to look ahead to backward revisions.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, November25:
Lambert right here: High of the leaderboard: HV.1, EG.5 a robust second, however BA.2.86 developing quick on the surface.
From CDC, November 11:
Lambert right here: I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services minimize by directors of in poor health intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information might be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, November 18:
Lambert right here: Slight will increase in some age teams, conforming to wastewater information. Solely per week’s lag, so this can be our greatest present nationwide, present indicator till Verily will get its home so as (and dealing class-centric, since I might doubt the higher crust goes to the ER).
NOTE “Charts and information offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, a minimum of for its time interval, that Covid shouldn’t be seasonal, despite the fact that CDC is making an attempt to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of November 27:
Degree-ish, however I guess hospitalization drops over the vacation weekend. Let’s wait and see. New York state as a complete seems to be extra like a spike. (I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading, though the hospital-centric public well being institution loves it, hospitalization and deaths being the one metrics that matter [snort]).
NOT UPDATED Right here’s a special CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, a minimum of. November 11:
Lambert right here: “Maps, charts, and information offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”. So the place the heck is the replace, CDC?
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, November 20:
0.5%. Decline arrested. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants typically; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer stress, went and received examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED From Cleveland Clinic, November 11:
Lambert right here: Improve (with backward revision; guess they thought it was over). I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is sweet*, and we’re starved for information, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is making an attempt to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.
NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s information, October 30:
Down, albeit within the rear view mirror. And listed here are the variants for vacationers, October 30:
Deaths
Complete: 1,183,396 – 1,183,379 = 17 (17 * 365 = 6,205 deaths per 12 months, as we speak’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would love, although they will discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I could need to determine that is what the powers-that-be take into account “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of loss of life and illness).
Lambert right here: This quantity is simply too small it doesn’t matter what. Iowa Covid19 Tracker hasn’t been up to date since September 27, 2023. I could need to revert to CDC information. Yech.
Extra Deaths
NOT UPDATED The Economist, November 18:
Lambert right here: Primarily based on a machine-learning mannequin.
Stats Watch
There aren’t any officals statistics of curiosity as we speak.
* * *
Manufacturing: Tern is a little bit of a doomer. However:
Does make you surprise what number of different, effectively, PMC have related “briefs.”
Tech: “Meta Designed Merchandise to Capitalize on Teen Vulnerabilities, States Allege” [Wall Street Journal]. “An inside 2020 Meta presentation exhibits that the corporate sought to engineer its merchandise to capitalize on the elements of youth psychology that render teenagers ‘predisposed to impulse, peer stress, and probably dangerous dangerous conduct,’ the filings present…. ‘Teenagers are insatiable relating to ‘really feel good’ dopamine results,’ the Meta presentation exhibits, in keeping with the unredacted submitting, describing the corporate’s current product as already well-suited to offering the form of stimuli that set off the potent neurotransmitter. ‘And each time one among our teen customers finds one thing sudden their brains ship them a dopamine hit.’ Properly-being considerations have been particularly pronounced for youthful teenagers, some Meta executives concerned with youth well-being points internally acknowledged. ‘It’s not ‘regulators’ or ‘critics’ who assume Instagram is unhealthy for younger teenagers—it’s everybody from researchers and educational consultants to folks,’ Karina Newton, Instagram’s head of coverage, wrote in a Could 2021 electronic mail cited by the attorneys common. ‘The blueprint of the app is inherently not designed for an age group that don’t have the identical cognitive and emotional expertise that older teenagers do.’ Meta says it didn’t design its merchandise to be addictive for teenagers. ‘The criticism mischaracterizes our work utilizing selective quotes and cherry-picked paperwork,’ stated Stephanie Otway, a spokeswoman for the corporate.” • Uh-huh [nods vigorously].
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At this time’s Worry & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 68 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 64 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Nov 27 at 1:36:08 PM ET.
Rapture Index: Closes unchanged. Once more!! [Rapture Ready]. Document Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 187. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is sweet.) NOTE on #42 Plagues: “The coronavirus pandemic has maxed out this class.” Extra sincere than most! •
Zeitgeist Watch
This account is one among my responsible pleassures:
Some Black Friday Shoe Gross sales
1. Meermin: Even at full retail, this model affords a few of the greatest values in males’s footwear. These footwear are Goodyear welted, which implies you may extra simply resole them when the soles put on down. The uppers are additionally constructed from full-grain leather-based, so… pic.twitter.com/dLdRdGv8f8
— derek man (@dieworkwear) November 26, 2023
However, well-made, well-cut males’s clothes lasts for years. In case you can afford the preliminary outlay, it’s effectively value it.
Class Warfare
“Wealth Programs in RPGs” [Troy Press]. “Clearly there are a wealth of how to deal with foreign money in tabletop role-playing video games.” • The thought of “wealth” appears a bit… constricted.
Information of the Wired
“The Weight of New York Metropolis: Potential Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources” [Earth’s Future]. “As coastal cities develop globally, the mix of building densification and sea stage rise indicate rising inundation hazard. The purpose of the paper is to boost consciousness that each further high-rise constructing constructed at coastal, river, or lakefront settings might contribute to future flood danger, and that mitigation methods could must be included. The subsidence mapping idea helps to quantify the hazard and provides specificity to soil sorts and circumstances. We current satellite tv for pc information that present that the town is sinking 1–2 mm/tr with some areas subsiding a lot sooner.”
Thesis, antithesis:
my actual tackle the loss of life of the humanities is that we might undeath them by introducing a brand new sort of semicolon that establishes two impartial clauses are in contradiction. it will appear like the beneath, and it will allow a era of dialectical thought that may free us pic.twitter.com/OpDRR21k0i
— isabel (@_unwell) November 27, 2023
What about synthesis?
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