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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chook Music of the Day
Horned Screamer, Táchira, Venezuela. Quick however candy!
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Politicsd
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Capitol Seizure
“Rep. Loudermilk confirms all videotapes from Jan. 6 Committee depositions are gone” [Just the News]. “”The entire videotapes of all depositions are gone,” Rep. Barry Loudermilk, R-Ga., chairman of the Home Administration oversight subcommittee, advised the “Simply the Information, No Noise” tv present Thursday evening. Loudermilk mentioned he believes beneath the Home guidelines the videotapes certified as congressional proof as a result of some clips have been aired at hearings, and all of the tapes ought to have been preserved by the now-defunct J6 committee and its chairman, Rep. Bennie Thompson, D-Miss…. Loudermilk additionally revealed one other tantalizing twist within the J6 committee proof: the Democrat-led Home committee despatched sure proof comparable to transcripts to the Biden White Home and Homeland Safety Division and now the transcripts have been returned to Loudermilk’s GOP-led subcommittee almost totally redacted so their contents can’t be learn. Home Republicans don’t have any data of who the witnesses have been, what they mentioned, or why it’s being utilized by the federal prosecutor of their case in opposition to Trump, Loudermilk mentioned. The paperwork ‘belong to the Home. They need to have by no means been despatched. And second of all, don’t ship them again to me this closely redacted. These are our paperwork,’ the chairman mentioned. ‘However my query is, why was it okay for a Democrat-run Home of Representatives to have unredacted paperwork however not when there’s a Republican committee that’s trying into this. What’s it that the committee and or the White Home is making an attempt to cover?’” • And that’s a great query to ask, isn’t it? (And if these depositions are getting used as proof by the Prosecution in any of Trump’s trials, nicely….)
Biden Administration
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
Lambert right here: 340 days is a very long time in politics. Within the formulation of stability vs. volatility — that’s, the view that the race is a “common order” of Trump v. Biden, vs. the view that it’s on no account sure that Trump and/or Biden will nominated, elected, and allowed to imagine workplace, and additional, that the means by which the events will choose their candidates is unknown, and even the character of victory is unknown — I’m firmly on the aspect of volatility. Therefore my grimly detailed and methodical pointillist methodology; we have to know as a lot about all of the gamers and fields as we presumably can, as a result of we can not know who will emerge from the pack, and even, at this level, why. The powers that be can rig the election all they need, but when the canines gained’t eat the rigging, what then? And if they’ll, what then? So strap yourselves in.
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“The RNC’s guidelines for the 2024 conference don’t deal with what would occur if Donald Trump is convicted” [Associated Press]. “The Republican Nationwide Committee’s guidelines for subsequent 12 months’s nominating contest and conference have been launched this week with out addressing a query the GOP may nicely face subsequent summer season: Can the get together’s delegates vote for a special candidate if the presumptive nominee is convicted of a felony?” Nicely, we will all the time make up the principles as we go alongside! Extra: “At subsequent 12 months’s conference, which begins July 15 in Milwaukee, there will likely be alternatives to tweak the principles when they’re adopted or to droop them, which may require two-thirds of delegates to approve on a vote. ‘It’s a parliamentary physique,’ mentioned Benjamin Ginsberg, a Republican election lawyer. ‘It will possibly all the time work its will if it desires to 1 approach or one other.’ Such last-minute maneuvers are tough to arrange and there are few present indicators that delegates would possibly search for an alternative choice even with Trump’s legal circumstances looming.”
“My Father, My Religion, And Donald Trump” [The Atlantic]. At his Father’s funeral: “Now the gang swarmed round us, filling the sanctuary and spilling out into the foyer and adjoining hallways, the place tables displayed flowers and golf golf equipment and photographs of Dad. I used to be numb. My brothers too. None of us had slept a lot that week. So the primary time somebody made a glancing reference to Rush Limbaugh, it didn’t compute. However then one other particular person introduced him up. After which one other. That’s once I linked the dots. Apparently, the king of conservative discuss radio had been name-checking me on his program just lately—”a man named Tim Alberta”—and describing the unflattering revelations in my e book about Trump. Nothing in that second may have mattered to me much less. I smiled, shrugged, and thanked folks for coming to the visitation. They saved on coming. Greater than I may depend. Folks from the church—folks I’d identified my complete life—have been greeting me, not primarily with condolences or encouragement or mourning, however with commentary about Limbaugh and Trump. A few of it was playful, guys remarking about how I used to be the identical mischief-maker they’d identified since kindergarten. However a few of it wasn’t playful. A few of it was offended; a few of it was chilly and confrontational. One man questioned whether or not I used to be actually a Christian. One other requested if I used to be nonetheless on “the fitting aspect.” All whereas Dad was in a field 100 ft away.” • Value studying in full.
“What Would a Trump Administration Imply for the Battle in Ukraine?” [Russia Matters]. “It’s after all a very long time till the following U.S. presidential election, and far might occur in that point each within the U.S. and Ukraine, however, at current, opinion polls counsel each that Donald Trump would be the Republican presidential candidate and that he stands a great probability of beating Joe Biden. A second Trump presidency appears more likely to imply drastically decreased help for Ukraine, presumably mixed with a U.S. push for a peace settlement. With out very excessive ranges of U.S. army support ($61.4 billion thus far), it will likely be not possible for Ukraine to proceed the battle. A second Trump administration is a prospect that European governments dread, however that they can not affect. Nor have they got the power, unity or will both to provoke negotiations themselves, or to substitute for U.S. army support to Ukraine. They’re due to this fact additionally in ready mode. In the meantime, the Ukrainian institution is in a state of nice confusion and division. Consciousness is dawning that the probabilities of full victory are slight, and time shouldn’t be on Ukraine’s aspect; however the authorities has declared so typically and so publicly {that a} compromise peace is unacceptable (particularly regarding even a brief territorial compromise throughout a ceasefire) that it will likely be extraordinarily tough for them to comply with talks, until they arrive beneath large public strain from Washington or undergo a extreme army defeat. As for the Russian authorities, it senses that point is on its aspect, and likewise seems keen to attend within the hope that Russia’s far larger reserves of manpower and ammunition mixed with Western and Ukrainian conflict weariness will finally power Ukraine to just accept Russian phrases (albeit ones that may in all probability be far lower than Moscow hoped for when it launched the conflict). Vladimir Putin—who’s poised to run for reelection within the spring—additionally hopes {that a} Trump administration would promote such a settlement.”
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“Florida GOP Chair, Whose Spouse Co-Based Mothers for Liberty, Accused of Sexual Assault amid Ménage à Trois Scandal” [People]. “Christian Ziegler, the pinnacle of Florida’s Republican Celebration, is beneath legal investigation following an allegation of sexual battery, the Sarasota County Police Division confirms to PEOPLE. His accuser claims that she’d been in a consenting three-way sexual relationship with Christian and his spouse, Bridget Ziegler, for a while main as much as the incident, in line with the Florida Heart for Authorities Accountability. Whereas Christian chairs the Florida GOP, Bridget sits on Sarasota County’s faculty board and co-founded the far-right group Mothers for Liberty, a corporation that advocates in opposition to any point out of LGBTQ rights, race, ethnicity, crucial race idea, or discrimination in class curriculum. Although now not with Mothers for Liberty, Bridget was one of many driving forces behind Florida’s divisive ‘Don’t Say Homosexual’ laws. A closely redacted report supplied by the Sarasota PD reveals that an nameless particular person accused Christian — whose identify is hid on the doc — of sexual battery on Oct. 4 at a house in Sarasota. The phrase ‘raped’ is included within the report, although its context can also be redacted.” • And to suppose I believed the Florida Republican Celebration was a well-oiled machine….
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“DeSantis’ Marketing campaign Could Have Flunked Its Remaining Take a look at After Newsom Debate” [Daily Beast]. “Newsom typically appeared bewildered at simply how clumsy the DeSantis efficiency turned out, and took each alternative to hammer dwelling his high gripes with the governor. He additionally went out of his solution to defend President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris all through the almost two-hour affair…. Each Newsom and Hannity grew weary of DeSantis’ fixed interjections, with the California governor telling him to ‘calm down,’ whereas Hannity asserted he wasn’t ‘a potted plant’ and requested DeSantis to let Newsom communicate on a number of events. ‘Let one another breathe,’ a surprisingly Zen model of Hannity mentioned early on within the debate, to no avail. Past the countless crosstalk that ensued, the governors re-litigated their dealing with of the COVID-19 pandemic and even spent nearly 10 minutes on the distinction between progressive earnings taxes and flat gross sales taxes.”
“Prime takeaways, actual winner of DeSantis, Newsom debate” [FOX]. “Towards all expectations, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis completely destroyed California’s Gavin Newsom in Thursday evening’s Purple State-Blue State debate moderated by Sean Hannity on Fox Information. Sure, the governor of Florida had a stronger hand – his state has seen an enormous influx of residents interested in the higher high quality of life supplied by the Sunshine State, whereas folks have been fleeing California. On situation after situation raised by Hannity, DeSantis may roll out statistics that show the success of the conservative common sense insurance policies he has applied in Florida. However the shock was in his sturdy and persuasive presentation. DeSantis is mostly perceived to be a wood speaker and campaigner; perhaps his run for president has made him simpler. Newsom, alternatively, is reputed to be the Democrat’s smooth-talking, politically intelligent president-in-waiting, the seemingly successor to Joe Biden ought to the president drop out of the 2024 race. ”
“In debate with Newsom, how may DeSantis lose? Hannity pitched him nothing however softballs” [Miami Herald]. “As for winners and losers? Onerous to inform. Newsom, although weak on a number of points, was in there punching and landed some good traces. “Utilizing human beings as pawns is disqualifying to be president,” he mentioned about DeSantis’ migrant flights. Once more, the host and the viewers — in the event that they caught round — have been ready-made for DeSantis, and he stood to profit from the uneven enjoying area. How may he lose? He didn’t must attempt very arduous. He bought all his marketing campaign speaking factors in with out being challenged by Hannity. However it wasn’t truthful; with all of the raucous interrupting and overtalk, it wasn’t even a debate. No, it was a circus.”
“Republican DeSantis, Democrat Newsom conflict in acrimonious debate” [Reuters]. “DeSantis held his personal and had a robust exhibiting in opposition to Newsom, a talented debater, however it was seemingly inadequate to revive his stuttering marketing campaign.” • Though oppo researchers are poring over the tapes proper now….
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“Kamala Harris reveals she would ‘after all’ inform the American public if there was a ‘downside’ with Biden” [FOX]. “CNBC host Andrew Ross Sorkin requested Harris if she would ever divulge to the American public if there was an issue with Biden. ‘Do you suppose in your position, that you simply’re ready to do this?” he requested throughout an interview with Harris at The New York Instances Dealbook Summit. ‘In fact, if obligatory, however there’s no want for that. I don’t, there’s a political argument that’s being made. That isn’t primarily based on substance, and also you’re asking me to hypothesize round what are my duties to the American folks, as vice chairman of the USA, which can be primarily based on ethics and morals and the legislation. I’ll all the time observe these guidelines, however I’m suggesting to you that it is crucial we not be seduced into one of many solely arguments that that aspect of the aisle has proper now,’ she mentioned.” • So Harris appoints herself gatekeeper. Swell. (Additionally, Harris’s language is like uncanny valley; she’s barely off, always (“hypothesize round what are my duties”). It’s like she’s not a local speaker, although she is.)
“Why Democrats are beginning to panic over Biden’s ballot numbers” [Washington Times]. “The frightened Democrats are apprehensive that relatively than untimely predictions of electoral failure, they’re seeing early warning indicators that Biden is simply too weak to win. If these numbers don’t quickly enhance earlier than the polls have higher predictive energy, it will likely be too late for a course correction. Given the submitting deadlines in lots of major states in addition to the twin challenges of getting each Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris to step apart, it might already be too late.”
Republican Funhouse
“Behind the Curtain — Scoop: The Trump job purposes revealed” [Axios]. “We advised you in a ‘Behind the Curtain‘ column final month that Trump allies are pre-screening the ideologies of 1000’s of potential appointees and staff in case he wins again the White Home. Now we now have copies of the precise questionnaires Trump allies are utilizing — and that then-President Trump used himself throughout his remaining days in workplace…. Trump insiders are planning a much more focused and complex sequel to his haphazard first time period, when inside feuding deterred coverage wins or everlasting modifications to authorities…. The 2020 questionnaire — paired with the appliance the Heritage Basis is at the moment gathering from job prospects for a future administration — factors to a top-down government-in-waiting that may be pushed extra by ideology than by coverage experience or innovation.” • One other approach of placing that: The ideology is the innnovation. I ponder if BoJo did one thing comparable?
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, evidently individuals are really studying the back-dated submit! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are a lot of updates. So I should do this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated submit, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, in reality, a tough downside. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Celebration is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Celebration fails to control, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the aptitude to control. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working components of the Celebration reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not solely) these components comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.
Word, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is restricted by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
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“The Rural Problem for Democrats” [The Liberal Patriot]. “The Democratic Celebration’s decade-plus-long collapse in rural and micropolitan America stands as one of many nice obstacles to strengthening the nation’s democracy. Owing to institutional constraints that restrict easy majoritarian rule—the Electoral Faculty and the U.S. Senate specifically—rural areas exert a disproportionate affect on elections, the geographic distribution of political energy, and the power of get together coalitions. Gerrymandering by Republican-controlled state legislatures compounds this dynamic by both clustering liberal-leaning voters in a number of districts or splitting them throughout boundaries that favor conservatives. However relatively than establish their weak spot in nonmetro areas as an issue to be solved by way of conventional party-building efforts, too lots of immediately’s Democrats regard rural America with a combination of resignation, denial, and disdain. Beset with a rural popularity continuously described as ‘poisonous,’ the get together’s inept method is mirrored in maps of partisan management. Except a handful of seats, congressional Democrats draw energy from the coasts and enormous cities (at 40 seats, the California delegation alone makes up almost 20 p.c of the 212-strong Home Democratic caucus). Workplace-holding on the state degree equally tracks the get together’s overreliance on the Northeastern seaboard and West coast in presidential elections. Had been it not for concerted efforts by native Democrats in Minnesota and Michigan through the 2022 midterms, Illinois can be the one state legislature managed by Democrats within the Midwest; unsurprisingly, they management none within the South.”
“Cuomo attorneys contend texts undermine Trooper 1’s allegations” [Times-Union (Bob)]. Means down within the story: “Cuomo’s attorneys additionally allege within the court docket submitting that the feminine investigator mustn’t have disclosed info to Nevins about her perception that Cuomo had lied in regards to the purpose that members of his household had acquired precedence COVID-19 testing within the early phases of the pandemic, when entry to exams for the virus was tough. She additionally advised Nevins that the FBI ought to examine the secretive testing program, which concerned high-ranking state Well being Division officers who facilitated acquiring expedited check outcomes for Cuomo’s members of the family. Cuomo’s authorized group contends the feminine investigator ‘revealed confidential info to Nevins about Governor Cuomo’s contact together with his members of the family’ when she advised him that Cuomo lied when he mentioned his members of the family, together with his mom, sister and brother, had acquired the precedence testing as a result of that they had been round him.” • Oh. You may guess Cuomo wasn’t the one one.
Realignment and Legitimacy
“CTIL Recordsdata #1: US And UK Navy Contractors Created Sweeping Plan For International Censorship In 2018, New Paperwork Present” [Michael Shellenberger, Alex Gutentag, and Matt Taibbi, Public]. I Linked to this a number of days in the past, however I’m linking to it once more, as a result of generates perception within the “realignment and legitimacy body. The topic is the beginning (or, for those who desire, Floor Zero) of the Censorship Industrial Advanced: “Now, a big trove of latest paperwork, together with technique paperwork, coaching movies, shows, and inside messages, reveal that, in 2019, US and UK army and intelligence contractors led by a former UK protection researcher, Sara-Jayne ‘SJ’ Terp, developed the sweeping censorship framework. These contractors co-led CTIL, which partnered with CISA within the spring of 2020. In fact, the constructing of the Censorship Industrial Advanced started even earlier — in 2018. Inner [Cyber Threat Intelligence League (CTIL) Slack messages show Terp, her colleagues, and officials from DHS and Facebook all working closely together in the censorship process. The CTIL framework and the public-private model are the seeds of what both the US and UK would put into place in 2020 and 2021, including masking censorship within cybersecurity institutions and counter-disinformation agendas; a heavy focus on stopping disfavored narratives, not just wrong facts; and pressuring social media platforms to take down information or take other actions to prevent content from going viral.” Gramsci urges, somewhere, that state and civil society can be separated only as objects of study. That is, we cannot think of the State as a single entity, a la the “Deep State.” Both are aspects of the same governing class of people, all playing their roles (sometimes multiple roles) in parallel and intersecting fields. As for example: “According to the whistleblower, roughly 12-20 active people involved in CTIL worked at the FBI or CISA. “For a while, they had their agency seals — FBI, CISA, whatever — next to your name,” on the Slack messaging service, said the whistleblower.” • Janine Wedel’s model of networked “Flexians” (The Shadow Elites) is far better framework to approach understanding these developments; I should really review it one day. Anyhow, here is Taibbi’s accompanying video:
“Who Are Ready to Rouse Up Leviathan?” [Ed Simon, The Baffler]. “TWO YEARS AGO, within the final 12 months of an ill-fated interval of residing in Washington, D.C., and pretending that I used to be taken with what lanyards needed to say, I gave a discuss faith and journalism at a type of political magazines with an anodyne identify. Based by a thinker whom you’ve all heard of (Google “finish of historical past”), the assembled have been broadly “centrists,” presumably an assortment of neoliberal By no means Bernie Democrats and neoconservative By no means Trump Republicans, all of whom I assumed have been a lot additional to the fitting than myself. Regardless of our apparent coverage variations, I discovered the contributors—Zoomed into the little squares organized just like the opening credit of The Brady Bunch on my laptop computer—to be unflaggingly well mannered, considerate, and clever. In any case, we have been all essentially liberals, even when I’ll outline myself as a left-liberal (which is to say that between barbarism and socialism, I’m in all probability going to go for the latter). But no matter their commitments to the “free” market that’s at greatest a chimera and at worst a fraud, we had a consensus on ideas that may be traced again to the eighteenth-century, which is to say a perception within the dignity of people, the equality of all folks, and the universality of those beliefs (that final one is extra of a helpful assemble in my thoughts). The one tenet of liberalism on which we meaningfully differed was of their religion within the inevitability of purpose to collectively enhance the human situation. For me, that’s a quixotic religion with no empirical backing.” • Ulp! And in a not-unrelated submit–
“Eugenics as an ideology” [Chloe Humbert]. “Among the denial surrounding the eugenics-like choices within the pandemic has relied upon a slender unipolar understanding of eugenics. The traditionally most recognizable idea of eugenics is the place lively intervention is finished to decide on the winners and losers, comparable to pressured breeding, sterilization, deprivation, and murderous executions, by the lively will and brazenly admitted selections of the folks in energy over the scheme, asserting their authority to take action…. The presumably extra prevalent, and considerably extra insidious model of eugenics ideology, that has flown beneath the radar in our trendy world, is the range that spawned grotesque and wholly unscientific concepts like ‘pure herd immunity’ within the pandemic, as pushed by Scott Atlas and The Nice Barrington Declaration adherents. To withhold prevention of affected by these weak. he proponents of such a eugenics declare that they’re leaving it as much as ‘nature’ or, alternately, particularly a divine energy, relying on their spiritual or secular orientation. The purpose is to cease any intervention that may save folks they suppose are ‘weak’ or ‘undeserving’ in a roundabout way as inappropriately countering the superior ‘nature’ to do its factor. This contains resistance to all public well being measures like masks, vaccines, meals help, healthcare fairness, and even catastrophe reduction and common schooling in public faculties. By no means thoughts that interventions are pure too, as a result of people do them, the identical approach birds construct nests, however clearly folks draw the road on “pure” wherever it’s handy to their function.” • In follow, “nature” doesn’t do its factor in any respect, however establishments, differentiallly utilized or, within the vulgate, “the luck of the draw.” That’s why I take advantage of the time period “stochastic eugenicism,” for the reason that glad final result on the inhabitants degree could appear random on the particular person degree.
“Julianna Margulies Says Black Palestine Supporters Have Been ‘Brainwashed to Hate Jews’” [Rolling Stone]. “Discussing the Civil Rights Motion, Margulies famous that ‘the Jews have been those that walked aspect by aspect with the Blacks to battle for his or her rights. And now the Black group isn’t embracing us and saying ‘We stand with you the way in which you stood with us’? Jews died for his or her trigger. The place’s the historical past lesson in that? Who’s educating these children? As a result of the truth that your entire Black group isn’t standing with us, to me, says they don’t know, or they’ve been brainwashed to hate Jews.” • There’s, after all, an infinite dogpile occurring proper now over this. To me, Margulies’s remark displays the vacuity of Id Politics. Actually “not all Jews” “walked aspect by aspect” with “the Blacks”; and going unmentioned is the truth that lots of those that did, within the Nineteen Thirties, have been — [gasp] — Communists. Including to the hilarity are coments to the impact that crediting “the Jews” for this makes them “white saviors,” piling a Pelion of idiocy upon the Ossa of a fallacy of composition. We don’t even must get to, er, figuring out all Jews with the state of Israel to see how confused this whole line of pondering is.
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
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Immune Dysregulation
On mycoplasma pneumonia (“strolling pneumonia”), or no matter it’s, reasoning by analogy, I wrote:
I don’t suppose the case is iron-clad, however it positive appears that approach, vs. different explanations like seasonality and so-called immunity debt. I believe the exact mechanism is beneath dialogue, however IMNSHO “immunue dysregulation” is the fitting thought at a excessive degree. FWIW!
Individuals who have been near the AIDS disaster might appropriate this blue sky hypothesis, however IIRC, AIDS symptons have been initially “delicate” [***cough***] and solely over time did the “ID” (Immune Deficiency”) facet turn into clear, what with Kaposi sarcoma, thrush, and so on. /p>
To this point, SARS-CoV-2’s trajectory is unnervingly much like AIDS, even other than the sudden eruption of mysterious illnesses. Culturally, condoms = masks; “secure intercourse” = air flow. When it comes to response, CDC and the political class are actually what they have been then. I’m hawkish on this, and I imagine that in a 12 months, “Airborne AIDS” will begin reaching the mainstream, and rightly. In impact, we’re collectively opening a marketplace for costly prescription drugs not less than an order of magnitude larger than these for AIDS. Silver lining!
Laying down a little bit of a marker, right here. Now my priors!
“Now MASSACHUSETTS says it’s being hit by wave of pneumonia in youngsters as Ohio county points “white lung” warning – after China and Europe noticed surge in circumstances and hospitalizations” [Daily Mail]. “Medical doctors in components of Massachusetts and Ohio are reporting a spike in baby pneumonia circumstances much like the outbreak spreading in China and components of Europe. In Warren County, simply 30 miles outdoors Cincinnati, there have been 142 pediatric circumstances of the situation — dubbed ‘white lung syndrome’ — since August, a determine well being officers there described as ‘extraordinarily excessive’. ‘Not solely is that this above the county common, it additionally meets the Ohio Division of Well being definition of an outbreak,’ the county’s well being division mentioned Wednesday. In the meantime, in western Massachusetts, physicians are seeing ‘a complete lot’ of strolling pneumonia, a milder type of the lung situation, which is being attributable to a combination of bacterial and viral infections. Neither outbreak is being attributable to a novel pathogen and never the entire pneumonia circumstances are being attributable to the identical an infection. Specialists say a combination of a number of seasonal bacterial and viral bugs are hitting directly, placing strain on hospitals. It has raised fears that the outbreak that has overwhelmed hospitals China may hit the US this winter. A number of European nations are battling comparable crises.” • Why now? Why youngsters? Why such a speedy unfold? ‘Tis a thriller! This isn’t straight pertinent, however–
Testing and Monitoring
Assume “artisanal wastewater”:
Some people are discovering that they check neg on the RATs however after they swabbed their poo, it examined constructive. May be instructive.
— ShastaMystic (@ShastaMystic) December 1, 2023
Instructions:
To do that, I believe one can simply stick the swab into soiled rest room water earlier than mixing the swab with the check liquid (it’s crucial that you simply do the blending, you’ll be able to’t simply put rest room water on the strip).10/
— Marc Johnson (@SolidEvidence) July 6, 2023
This can be a very new thought, so regardless that Marc Johnson is a wonderful account, I don’t know if this method is canon. Readers?
Scientific Communication
Methods of denial:
Every technique being an entire failure of scientific communication by the general public well being institution.
An infection
“COVID-19 ramping up within the Quad Cities, hospital officers say” [KWQC]. ” Hospitalizations for COVID-19 are on the rise within the Quad-Cities, and well being specialists are once more reminding folks to take precautions as we head into the vacations. As folks transfer indoors and collect for holidays, a spokesperson for UnityPoint Well being-Trinity mentioned there are precautions folks can take to remain secure, together with recurrently washing your fingers and staying dwelling when sick.” • [lambert bangs head on desk]. In some unspecified time in the future, we now have to rule out ignorance as a proof.
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” may be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. A number of exceptionally nasty sequelae, most probably deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we would add mind harm, together with character modifications therefrom.
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Elite Maleficence
Completely satisfied Anniversary (1):
4 years in the past immediately: A person in Wuhan, China begins feeling sick, changing into the primary confirmed case of COVID-19. A minimum of 7 million folks have since died, with estimates as excessive as 27 million
— BNO Information (@BNOFeed) November 30, 2023
Completely satisfied Anniversary (2):
Did we get…
Higher speedy exams? – nope
Improved indoor air high quality? – lmao no
Assured sick go away within the U.S.? – Hahaha present up or lose *the whole lot*
Accelerated improvement of second gen / intranasal vaccines? – We waited till 2023 to consider funding that. No rush. 🤡
— Decorum Disassembly – mas.to/@decorummanager (@DecorumManager) December 1, 2023
The Biden Administration’s coverage of malign neglect (“stochastic eugenicism”) is clearly seen on this, our silly timeline.
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Case Information
NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information, November 27:
Lambert right here: Case counts transferring neatly upward (and tinfoil hat time: That is the, er, inflection level CDC was making an attempt to hide after they gave the contract to Verily and didn’t guarantee a seamless transition).
Regional information:
That Midwest near-vertical curve is regarding, though as ever with Biobot it’s important to look ahead to backward revisions.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, November25:
Lambert right here: Prime of the leaderboard: HV.1, EG.5 a robust second, however BA.2.86 developing quick on the skin.
From CDC, November 11:
Lambert right here: I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services reduce by directors of sick intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information will likely be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of constructive check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, November 25:
Lambert right here: Slight will increase in some age teams, conforming to wastewater information. Solely per week’s lag, so this can be our greatest present nationwide, present indicator.
NOTE “Charts and information supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not your entire pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, not less than for its time interval, that Covid shouldn’t be seasonal, regardless that CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections. And naturally, we’re not even stepping into the standard of the wastewater websites that we now have as a proxy for Covid an infection total.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of December 1:
Steadily up. New York state as a complete seems extra like a spike. (I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading, though the hospital-centric public well being institution loves it, hospitalization and deaths being the one metrics that matter [snort]).
NOT UPDATED Right here’s a special CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, not less than. November 18:
Lambert right here: “Maps, charts, and information supplied by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”. So the place the heck is the replace, CDC?
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, November 27:
0.4%. Up. (It could be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants typically; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer strain, went and bought examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED From Cleveland Clinic, November 25:
Lambert right here: Enhance (with backward revision; guess they thought it was over). I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is nice*, and we’re starved for information, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is making an attempt to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.
NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s information, November 6:
Down, albeit within the rear view mirror. And listed below are the variants for vacationers, November 6:
BA.2.86 coming alongside properly.
Deaths
Complete: 1,183,754 – 1,183,664 = 90 (209 * 90 = 18,810 deaths per 12 months, immediately’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “residing with” Covid (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would really like, although they’ll discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may must determine that is what the powers-that-be contemplate “mission achieved” for this explicit tranche of loss of life and illness).
Lambert right here: This quantity is simply too small it doesn’t matter what. Iowa Covid19 Tracker hasn’t been up to date since September 27, 2023. I’ll must revert to CDC information. Yech.
Extra Deaths
NOT UPDATED The Economist, November 18:
Lambert right here: Gonna must whack this, too. How does an automatic mannequin not replace? Primarily based on a machine-learning mannequin.
Stats Watch
Manufacturing: “United States ISM Buying Managers Index (PMI)” [Trading Economics]. “The ISM Manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 46.7 in November 2023, the identical as in October, and beneath forecasts of 47.6, persevering with to level to contraction within the manufacturing sector. Corporations are nonetheless managing outputs appropriately as order softness continues.”
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The Fed: “Fed’s Curiosity Price Hikes Are In all probability Over, however Officers Are Reluctant to Say So” [Wall Street Journal]. “Financial coverage is at its most economically restrictive setting in 25 years, and it might want to keep tight ‘for fairly a while,’ New York Fed President John Williams mentioned at a convention on Thursday. ‘We have to watch,’ Williams advised reporters after a speech. ‘I’ve to evaluate, ‘OK, how is that this enjoying out?’”
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At present’s Worry & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 66 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 66 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Dec 1 at 1:28:17 PM ET.
Class Warfare
“Billionaires amass extra by way of inheritance than wealth creation, says UBS” [Financial Times]. “‘The heirs to billionaires are gaining prominence,’ mentioned Benjamin Cavalli, UBS’s head of worldwide wealth administration strategic shoppers. ‘New billionaires minted throughout this 12 months’s examine interval accrued extra wealth by way of inheritance than entrepreneurship. That’s a theme we count on to see extra of over the following 20 to 30 years, as greater than 1,000 billionaires go an estimated $5.2tn to their youngsters.’” • Finest, I believe, to think about capitalal as being owned by households/clans. Not people (so “Each billioniare is a coverage failure” shouldn’t be fairly proper). Looks like a marketing campaign situation…
Information of the Wired
“Who Makes the Most Dependable New Vehicles?” [Consumer Reports]. • American manufacturing prowess (U.S. companies highlighted):
I’m a little bit amazed to see Tesla forward of Cadillac. I imply, final I checked, Elon nonetheless couldn’t run a paint sales space, so Cadillac have to be actually dangerous.
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Contact info for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of crops. Greens are tremendous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Desert Dawg:
Desert Dawg writes: “The tree trimmers are again at work this fall.”
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