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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Hen Track of the Day
Solitary Tinamou, Santa Catarina, Brazil. “The ‘chororocada’ tune, heard within the breeding season.” Properly, dammit, if it’s so solitary…. (I additionally love the ’30s newsreel-style voice introduction, additionally a vanishing breed.)
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Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order
“6 pro-Trump ‘pretend electors’ indicted by Nevada grand jury” [The Hill]. “The six Nevadans face felony costs of providing a false instrument for submitting and uttering a cast doc for disseminating a doc titled ‘Certificates of the Votes of the 2020 Electors from Nevada’ to a number of authorities entities…. Planning in Nevada to make use of an alternate slate of electors started as early as 4 days earlier than the 2020 election, when DeGraffenreid — one of many charged pretend electors — advised different state get together officers in a textual content that former Nevada Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske (R) ‘would possibly do lots of issues, however sending a slate of Republican electors with out them being clearly the winners of the favored vote is just not one in every of them.’… DeGraffenreid, a GOP committee member, emailed then-Trump lawyer Chesebro on Dec. 11, 2020, with the topic ‘URGENT-Trump-Pence marketing campaign requested me to contact you to coordinate Dec. 14 voting by Nevada electors,’ in keeping with the Jan. 6 committee’s ultimate report. ”
“Nevada grand jury indicts six Republicans who falsely licensed that Trump gained the state in 2020” [Associated Press]. “The indictments in Nevada are simply the most recent to come back out of investigations in a number of states into the actions of Republican electors. Michigan’s Legal professional Common filed felony costs in July towards 16 Republican pretend electors, who would face eight prison costs together with forgery and conspiracy to commit election forgery, although one had costs dropped after reaching a cooperation deal. The highest cost carried a most penalty of 14 years in jail. In Wisconsin, 10 Republicans who posed as electors settled a civil lawsuit Wednesday, admitting their actions had been a part of an effort to overturn President Joe Biden’s victory. Sixteen pretend electors even have been charged in Georgia, three of which had been additionally charged in August alongside Trump in a sweeping indictment accusing them of collaborating in a wide-ranging scheme to illegally overturn the outcomes of the presidential election. They’ve pleaded not responsible. Democratic attorneys common in New Mexico and Arizona are also investigating the function of faux electors of their states.”
Biden Administration
“Six Governors Push Biden To Reschedule Pot in Open Letter” [High Times]. “Governors throughout America are bored with ready for President Joe Biden to satisfy his purpose to swiftly decide if the nation ought to reschedule hashish on the federal stage—main six of them to induce the president in a letter to do one thing after months of inaction. Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul, and New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy urged the president to take motion in a letter dated Dec. 5, on condition that it’s been 10 years for the reason that first states legalized adult-use pot (beginning with Colorado and Washington).”
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
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“Is Company America Betting on Trump?” [Matt Stoller, BIG]. “A couple of well-connected contacts within the large tech world advised me early on they had been fairly assured it could be a reversion to Obama period antitrust, that Kamala Harris would handle them. Had been they ever fallacious! Biden appointed aggressive enforcers to each the Division of Justice Antitrust Division and to the Federal Commerce Fee, and issued a significant govt order on competitors. The web impact is an enormous deterrent towards mergers, particularly giant ones, with deal quantity down 16% this 12 months alone. There’s additionally lots of litigation the place judges have to start out coping with antitrust. From the ebook trade to medical health insurance to Google and Amazon to prescription routing networks to digital actuality to video video games to semiconductors to sugar to health-specific adtech to pharmaceutical patents and personal fairness well being care suppliers to airways to pipelines to meat to pesticides, the antitrust world has been busy. And that’s unlikely to gradual. The JetBlue-Spirit trial is ending, which might go to attraction. The IQVIA merger trial is ongoing, as is the primary Google antitrust search trial. One other Google trial begins early subsequent 12 months, as does an FTC trial towards Fb. My guess is there will likely be extra challenges, probably towards the grocery store mixture of Kroger-Albertsons, the design software program merger of Adobe and Figma, and/or pharma big Pfizer’s buy of Seagan. However what’s attention-grabbing is that over the previous few months, the deterrent impact appears to be waning, as there have been some main bulletins of massive mergers.” What I don’t get: If Biden’s going to do all this, why isn’t he promoting it, as an alternative of Bidenomics™? Extra: “[W]hat’s occurring is that deal-makers assume that Trump might win.” • Depart it to Stoller to provide you with cause to vote for Biden (even when, from his conduct, Biden thinks it’s not cause).
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“Joe Biden affords bald-faced lies to all of America about his household affairs” [New York Post]. “Thrice on Wednesday, Joe Biden denied that he has interacted along with his son Hunter and brother Jim’s enterprise associates, when it’s an simple, documented undeniable fact that he has interacted with them dozens of occasions. Tony Bobulinski would love a phrase. Bobulinski, Hunter’s enterprise companion on the household’s three way partnership with Chinese language power firm CEFC, voluntarily offered testimony to the FBI that he met Joe on two events in Beverly Hills, Calif., in 2017, on Might 2 and Might 3. On the primary event, Jim and Hunter had been current, and on the second, Bobulinski met with Joe alone. ‘I’m a former embellished naval officer who was prepared to die for this nice nation and held the very best safety clearance issued by the Division of Power,’ Bobulinski advised The Submit yesterday. ‘Why is Joe Biden blatantly mendacity to the American folks and the world by claiming that he didn’t meet with me head to head?’ ‘He ought to name his son Hunter and brother Jim as they will remind him of the details. The American folks deserve the reality.’” • Biden “denied” thrice? Cf. Luke 22:34!
“Joe Biden owes me _____” is a fairly good template. Atrios:
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“Israel, China and migration: Key takeaways from the US Republican debate” [Al Jazeera]. “Christie resumed his function as probably the most outstanding Trump critic on the controversy stage, however whereas none of his rivals matched his zeal, some nonetheless took their very own modest pictures on the former president. [America’s Most Organic Candidate™, Nikki] Haley, particularly, criticised authorities spending below the Trump administration, which accepted an enormous COVID-19 financial aid bundle in 2020. She additionally described Trump as an agent of chaos. ‘We’ve to cease the chaos, however you may’t defeat Democrat chaos with Republican chaos,’ Haley mentioned. ‘And that’s what Donald Trump provides us. My strategy is totally different: no drama, no vendettas, no whining.’” If any person tells me “no whining,” my fast assumption is that huge whinage is within the works. Extra: “For his half, DeSantis, who burst onto the nationwide scene along with his stern defence of Trump, questioned the previous president’s electability, suggesting he could also be too outdated to serve within the White Home at age 77. He additionally argued that Trump didn’t ship on his 2016 election guarantees. ‘He didn’t clear up the swamp. He mentioned he was going to empty it. He didn’t drain it. He mentioned he was going to construct a wall and have Mexico pay for it. We don’t have the wall,’ DeSantis mentioned. Trump is main the race by as many as 40 proportion factors, in keeping with some polls. The presidential hopefuls voiced staunch help for Israel in its struggle in Gaza, which has killed greater than 16,000 Palestinians.”
“The Republican debate discipline was requested about Trump. However many of the stage’s assaults centered on Nikki Haley” [Chicago Tribune]. “With Trump absent, the ambiance across the debate lacked a number of the buzz typically related to such affairs, particularly in ostensibly open primaries. Lower than two hours to go earlier than the opening salvo, the media room, which is often the apply corridor for the College of Alabama’s Million Greenback Band, was barely half full. The tv and radio platforms across the periphery — the spin room, in debate parlance — had been noticeably quiet, missing the high-profile surrogates or marketing campaign staffers who would possibly usually be showing dwell on cable information or discuss radio to pitch on their candidates’ behalf. Exterior Moody Music Corridor on campus, extra buzz got here from state highschool soccer championship video games being performed in Bryant-Denny Stadium. The controversy could have been exhausting to search out for a lot of potential viewers. It aired on NewsNation, a cable community nonetheless making an attempt to construct its viewers after taking up WGN America three years in the past.”
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“Ramaswamy sparks social media firestorm over ‘Nikki = Corrupt’ signal at GOP debate” [FOX]. “‘I don’t have a girl downside,’ Ramaswamy advised Haley as a part of an assault criticizing her work within the navy contracting sector after her time as ambassador. ‘You have got a corruption downside and I feel that that’s what folks have to know. Nikki is corrupt.’ As Ramaswamy was saying that, he pulled out an indication that had been sitting on the rostrum that learn, ‘Nikki=Corrupt.’ ‘This can be a girl who will ship your children to die so she will be able to purchase a much bigger home,’ Ramaswamy added. When requested by a moderator if she wished to reply to Ramaswamy’s declare, Haley mentioned, ‘No. It’s not price my time to reply to him.’” • Is he fallacious? (In fact it’s not price Haley’s time. She will’t invoice for it, can she?)
“Haley says Ramaswamy not ‘severe candidate’: ‘It’s not price us coping with Vivek’” [The Hill]. • I like Haley’s “we.” Throw ’em off the droshky!
“Ramaswamy calls Haley ‘fascist’” [The Hill]. “‘The one individual extra fascist than the Biden regime now could be Nikki Haley, who thinks the federal government ought to determine each a type of people with an ID,’ Ramaswamy mentioned through the debate, which is being hosted by The Hill’s sister group NewsNation, to boos from the gang. ‘That isn’t freedom, that’s fascism, and she or he ought to come nowhere close to the levers of energy, not to mention the White Home,’ he added. Ramaswamy was referring to a earlier proposal provided by Haley suggesting that social media customers wanted to be verified by identify, saying in a Fox Information interview, “Each individual on social media must be verified, by their identify. That’s, to start with, it’s a nationwide safety menace. Once you do this, rapidly, folks have to face by what they are saying.’” • Haley has seized on a gorgeous merchandise from the fascist smorgasboard, that’s for certain. I’m shocked to not hear any liberal Democrats from the Censorship Industrial Advanced saying “Properly, she’s acquired a degree.” And talking of social media–
“Nikki Haley says TikTok makes folks ‘17% extra antisemitic, extra pro-Hamas’” [Guardian]. • Spurious precision?
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* * *“‘No matter it takes’: Cheney considers third-party bid to cease Trump in 2024” [Axios]. “Former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) is contemplating a third-party presidential bid as she seeks to do “no matter it takes” to cease former President Trump from successful in 2024, she advised the Washington Submit in an interview revealed Tuesday…. Cheney mentioned that she’s going to determine whether or not to launch a presidential marketing campaign early subsequent 12 months.”
“Liz Cheney says she could launch third get together bid towards Trump, claims he might finish democracy” [ABC]. “She mentioned, nevertheless, that she wouldn’t be part of the so-called ‘unity’ ticket that could possibly be put forth by the No Labels group if it appeared like that will assist elect Trump.” • Dream ticket: Clinton/Cheney 2024!
Republican Funhouse
“Chuck Todd: How elected officers are gaslighting America [NBC]. “Amongst Republicans nationally, simply 26% believed Joe Biden’s victory was professional. Amongst former GOP members of Congress, a whopping 82% consider he gained legitimately…. It’s apparent that members of Congress too typically give in to the idea methods of their (typically overly whipped-up) constituents out of worry of shedding their jobs. What’s much less clear is strictly the worth these self-preservation selections value us….. I’ll always remember a dialog I had, when Trump was first elected, with a outstanding Republican senator who pulled me apart whereas getting off of a aircraft and promised to face as much as Trump. They had been the guardrail, they swore, towards Trump’s operating roughshod over the system and the Structure. Evidently, that senator’s pledge lasted lower than a 12 months….. As has been mentioned quite a few occasions, authoritarians normally don’t take energy, they’re handed it, and the elected GOP class has gotten extra snug handing energy to Trump with yearly that has passed by since he burst onto the scene in 2016.” • Hmm.
“Congressman Dave Joyce Will Introduce Invoice To Reclassify State-Authorized Hashish At Federal Degree” [Benzinga]. “Republican Congressman Dave Joyce (OH-14) is main the cost for marijuana legalization in the USA by means of the proposed STATES 2.0 Act…. Anticipated to be formally launched this week, the STATES 2.0 Act goals to rectify the present federal-state discord in hashish legal guidelines by acknowledging particular person states’ selections. The laws, an enhanced model of Joyce’s 2019 STATES Act, seeks to allow the descheduling of state-legal marijuana whereas upholding federal illegality for marijuana produced exterior regulated markets…. Recognizing the various approaches of 38 states, together with Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico, which at present have some type of state-regulated marijuana market, the STATES 2.0 Act upholds states’ rights. It enforces federal regulation solely in states opting to legalize, leaving prohibitory states unaffected.”
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, plainly individuals are truly studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are various updates. So I must do this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, the truth is, a tough downside. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Celebration is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Celebration fails to control, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the aptitude to control. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working components of the Celebration reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not totally) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence neighborhood.
Be aware, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
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#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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Covid is Airborne
“222 nm Far-UVC Use Case: At The Dentist” [Pandemic Enclave]. “I ran a really casual ballot on Twitter not way back, asking of us what conditions had been their largest concern the place they thought 222 nm far-UVC would possibly be capable of assist. An necessary caveat is the main target on this occasion is on shopper units, slightly than industrial purposes, which is a little bit of a distinct animal…. Not surprisingly, this was the most important concern that cropped up, for apparent causes: you’re principally caught in a chair, mouth agape, with a number of folks poking round in your mouth, with their mouths and noses possibly 12 to 18 inches from yours. On prime of that, there may additionally be occasions when it’s important to transfer between the chair and different gear, say a specialised x-ray machine. Many dental clinics lately are additionally ‘open bay’ designs, which don’t have structural partitions between examination areas and aerosols can move way more freely. And dentistry can kick up a LOT of aerosols, not simply from of us exhaling, however from drilling, spraying water, and many others. Whereas aerosols wafting round on air currents are definitely a menace, I submit the most important menace is posed by the dentist and techs engaged on you, with their faces roughly (at a guess) 12 to 24 inches from yours.” • There follows a dialogue of units and energy ranges…. Price a learn!
The American genius for tinkering:
In your pocket, the wires had been simply too quick. Priorities. Now I can strive it out on the workplace and many others subsequent time I’m going. It does not weigh a lot and there’s loads of airflow accessible. I feel there’s a ton of potential right here 🙂
— Open_ERV (@open_erv) December 7, 2023
Unsure about this — why not simply masks? — however I’m glad this man is in there punching!
Maskstravaganza
“Maskless Mandy” mentions masks, so issues should be actually dangerous:
Thanks @CDCDirector @CDCgov for this invaluable message that included air flow and masking. https://t.co/3QOkJNbhBa pic.twitter.com/eK1Q5kRdEP
— Andrew W a n g, PhD, MPH, CPH (@AWangMPH) December 7, 2023
I don’t assume there’s all that a lot to be pleased about. There are three objects on this order: Handwashing, air flow, masks. CDC retains making an attempt to throw all of the respiratory viruses into one bucket as “seasonal.” However (a) SARS-CoV-2 is just not seasonal, and (b) handwashing doesn’t not stop it (though it might assist with RSV and flu, however they aren’t, so far as we all know, brain-damaging). So the order must be: N95s (not “masks”), after which air flow, since cleansing the air helps with all three. Solely then handwashing. Additionally, why the heck isn’t she practising what she’s preaching, and sporting an N95? “Scarlet letter” or sumpin’?
Talking of sheep:
In the event you balk at sporting a masks however by no means complain about sporting a tie, needless to say a type of is solely to show your subservience to the system, to promote your willingness to conform and to slot in, regardless of it serving no precise goal. And that one isn’t the masks.
— The Yeti of Kananaskis (@LordOfTheYeti1) December 6, 2023
Vaccines
“One in 4 who had Pfizer Covid jabs skilled unintended immune response” [The Telegraph]. “Greater than 1 / 4 of individuals injected with mRNA Covid jabs suffered an unintended immune response created by a glitch in the way in which the vaccine was learn by the physique, a examine has discovered. No adversarial results had been created by the error, information present, however Cambridge scientists discovered such vaccines weren’t excellent and typically led to nonsense proteins being made as an alternative of the specified Covid ‘spike’, which mimics an infection and results in antibody manufacturing…. Within the case of the Covid jabs, the top result’s a nonsensical and innocent protein, the workforce discovered, which the physique assaults and results in an immune system flare-up. The brand new examine, revealed in Nature, discovered this occurred in round 25-30 per cent of individuals.” • Properly, no less than they’re not utilizing the phrase “gentle.” Anyhow, for these nonetheless , Novavax is just not mRNA.
Testing and Monitoring
“Utilizing each nostril, throat swabs boosts sensitivity of fast COVID testing” [Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy]. “Utilizing each nasal and throat swabs elevated sensitivity for HCW- and self-collected specimens by 21.4 and 15.5 proportion factors, respectively, in contrast with a single nostril swab. ‘Our findings counsel that the present testing suggestions ought to embody throat specimens to enhance the sensitivity of fast antigen testing,’ the examine authors wrote. ‘Additional analysis ought to verify our findings utilizing redesigned and different fast antigen testing units and discover whether or not throat specimens may also enhance the detection of different frequent airway infections.’” • Perhaps lower these false negatives from RAT!
Attention-grabbing query on wastewater:
Not resolved on the thread!
Transmission
“Eyeglasses and threat of COVID-19 transmission – evaluation of the Virus Watch Group Cohort examine” [International Journal of Infectious Diseases]. From the Summary: “Contributors from the Virus Watch potential neighborhood cohort examine responded to a questionnaire on using eyeglasses and speak to lenses. An infection was confirmed by means of information linkage, self-reported optimistic outcomes, and, for a subgroup, month-to-month capillary antibody testing…. . Multivariable logistic regression mannequin confirmed 15% decrease odds of an infection for many who reported utilizing eyeglasses at all times for common use (OR 0.85, 95% 0.77-0.95, p = 0.002) in comparison with those that by no means wore eyeglasses.” • Many extra eyeglasses hyperlinks on this thread.
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” is perhaps a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. A lot of exceptionally nasty sequelae, most definitely deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we would add mind harm, together with persona adjustments therefrom.
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Case Knowledge
From BioBot wastewater information, December 4:
Lambert right here: Biden’s doing nice. His Omicron spike is, in fact, incomparable, however now he’s overwhelmed Trump’s case rely for each January and September 2021. In 2023! Case counts transferring well upward (and tinfoil hat time: That is the, er, inflection level CDC was making an attempt to hide once they gave the contract to Verily and didn’t guarantee a seamless transition). Solely 19 superspreading days till Christmas!
Regional information:
These near-vertical curves within the Midwest and the Northeast are regarding, though as ever with Biobot it’s important to look ahead to backward revisions.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, November25:
Lambert right here: Prime of the leaderboard: HV.1, EG.5 a powerful second, however BA.2.86 arising quick on the skin.
From CDC, November 11:
Lambert right here: I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to amenities minimize by directors of sick intent).
CDC: “As of Might 11, genomic surveillance information will likely be reported biweekly, primarily based on the provision of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems to be like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, December 2:
Lambert right here: Slight will increase in some age teams, conforming to wastewater information. Solely per week’s lag, so this can be our greatest present nationwide, present indicator.
NOTE “Charts and information offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not your entire pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, no less than for its time interval, that Covid is just not seasonal, though CDC is making an attempt to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections. And naturally, we’re not even moving into the standard of the wastewater websites that we’ve got as a proxy for Covid an infection total.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of December 7:
Steadily up. New York state as an entire appears to be like extra like a spike. (I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading, though the hospital-centric public well being institution loves it, hospitalization and deaths being the one metrics that matter [snort]).
NOT UPDATED Right here’s a distinct CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, no less than. November 25:
Up….
Lambert right here: “Maps, charts, and information offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”. So the place the heck is the replace, CDC?
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, December 4:
0.2%. Up. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer stress, went and acquired examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED From Cleveland Clinic, December 2:
Lambert right here: Enhance (with backward revision; guess they thought it was over). I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is sweet*, and we’re starved for information, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is making an attempt to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.
NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s information, November 13:
Down, albeit within the rear view mirror. And listed below are the variants for vacationers, November 6:
BA.2.86 20% of the the whole final week, 25% of the whole this week.
Deaths
Complete: 1,184,345 – 1,184,189 = 30 (156 * 365 = 56,940 deaths per 12 months, at the moment’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “residing with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would love, although they will discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may must determine that is what the powers-that-be take into account “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of loss of life and illness).
Lambert right here: This quantity is just too small it doesn’t matter what. Iowa Covid19 Tracker hasn’t been up to date since September 27, 2023. I’ll must revert to CDC information. Yech.
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of Individuals submitting for unemployment advantages edged increased by 1,000 to 220,000 on the week ending December 2nd, slightly below market expectations of 222,000, however marking the second-highest studying since September. The outcome prolonged the present development that the US labor market is displaying indicators of cooling from tighter ranges displayed earlier within the 12 months, albeit remaining sturdy from a historic standpoint.”
Employment State of affairs: “United States Challenger Job Cuts” [Trading Economics]. “US-based employers introduced plans to chop 45,510 jobs in November 2023, increased than 36,836 in October.”
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As we speak’s Worry & Greed Index: 64 Greed (earlier shut: 62 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 65 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Dec 7 at 1:50:34 PM ET.
The Conservatory
“We Ought to All Give Thanks for Taylor Swift” [Peggy Noonan]. “Proper about now Time journal can be selecting its Particular person of the 12 months…. Right here I inform you who it is going to be and should be or I will likely be displeased. Miss Taylor Swift is the Particular person of the 12 months. She is the very best factor that has occurred in America in all of 2023…. What she did this 12 months is a few sort of epic American story…. Her tour has damaged attendance and earnings data throughout the nation. She has reworked the financial system of each metropolis she visits. The U.S. Journey Affiliation reported this fall that what her concertgoers spend in and round every venue ‘is on par with the Tremendous Bowl, however this time it occurred on 53 totally different nights in 20 totally different places over the course of 5 months.’ … Bloomberg Economics reviews U.S. gross home product went up an estimated $4.3 billion on account of her first 53 concert events. The tour made her a billionaire, in keeping with Forbes the primary musician ever to make that rank solely primarily based on her songs and performances.” • And that’s earlier than we get to the superspreading! Anyhow, Nooners was on the cash–
“Taylor Swift Named Time’s Particular person of the 12 months, Tells Her Enemies: ‘Trash Takes Itself Out’” [Hollywood Reporter]. The total quote: “There’s one factor I’ve discovered: My response to something that occurs, good or dangerous, is to maintain making issues. Preserve making artwork. However I’ve additionally discovered there’s no level in actively making an attempt to cite unquote defeat your enemies. Trash takes itself out each single time.” • She’s about that (though no matter it was with the Kardashians, I missed it totally).
“The darkish fact about Taylor Swift” [Unherd]. “So what’s it about her work that so captivates the younger girls who kind the spine of her fanbase? Crucially, I feel, her love songs don’t are usually about relationships that finish nicely. A couple of — ‘Mine’ and ‘Love Story’ as an example — describe blissful endings. However by and enormous even her requited ones are upbeat solely when describing the primary flush of infatuation, as in ‘Enchanted’, ‘Fearless’, and ‘Prepared For It?’ As a substitute of inclining in direction of the blissful ever after, Swiftian ardour comes with its personal doom baked in: an assumption that, for any variety of causes, the excessive gained’t final. ‘Delicate’ is a stuttering, anxious hymn to the worry that declaring your emotions will destroy a budding romance. ‘Endgame’ captures each the longing to be somebody’s ‘blissful ever after’ and, implicitly, the expectation that this the dream will flip bitter.” • That is actually the one Taylor Swift tune I’ve listened to, 2023 – 2008 = 15 years in the past:
Catchy, however to me a bit cringe (although belong “with” and never “to” is a pleasant contact). Curiously, Swift, taking part in the protagonist, could also be dressed as a teen, however is clearly not a teen. Unsure what to make of that.
Class Warfare
“Vegas shooter who killed 3 was a professor who lately utilized for a job at UNLV, AP supply says” [Associated Press]. “The gunman in Wednesday’s capturing was a professor who had unsuccessfully sought a job on the faculty, a regulation enforcement official with direct data of the investigation advised The Related Press. He beforehand labored at East Carolina College in North Carolina.” • Regardless that AP doesn’t say what rank of professor — Tenured? Full? Affiliate? Adjunct? — nonetheless we appear to be transferring up the ladder from postal employees and alienated youngsters….
Information of the Wired
“Behind the Scenes of Sound ID in Merlin” [Macaulay Library]. “As we speak we introduced one in every of our largest breakthroughs—Sound ID, a brand new characteristic within the Merlin Hen ID app—and a significant leap ahead in sound identification and machine studying up to now. Sound ID lets folks use their cellphone to hearken to the birds round them, and see dwell predictions of who’s singing. At the moment, Merlin can determine 458 fowl species within the U.S. and Canada primarily based on their sounds (with extra species and areas coming quickly). Sound ID runs in your system, with out requiring a community connection. Obtain it at the moment free of charge and try it out in your individual yard! In the event you occur to be situated within the Northeastern United States you may take a look at out Sound ID on the audio beneath which was recorded in New Hampshire.” • I discovered this on Hacker Information; I ponder if some NC readers propagated “Macaulay Library” there?
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Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are tremendous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it firstly of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From MG:
MG writes: “This can be a pretty autumn morning in my neighbor’s backyard, which is the view out from our west home windows. You need to hear the “Dublinese” begrudgery from Himself each time I touch upon how lovely it’s. Sigh.”
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So for those who see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to specific your appreciation in tangible kind. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get nervous. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:
Right here is the display screen that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
In the event you hate PayPal, you may electronic mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I gives you instructions on how one can ship a verify. Thanks!
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