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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Track of the Day
Northern Shrike, Bayfield, Wisconsin, United States. That is nice! A symphony, together with percussion from two woodpeckers!
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Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order (Revolt)
Alert reader GH kindly learn extra amicus briefs for Anderson. Some highlights:
“Transient for J. Michael Luttig, et al, Trump v. Anderson” (PDF) [In the Supreme Court of the United States]. “First, Part 3 has life solely as a result of it applies absolutely to those that violate its phrases and nonetheless retain or regain sufficient reputation probably to be elected or be appointed by elected officers. Part 3 could be a useless letter if the Courtroom refused to use it as a result of an insurrectionist had reputation with massive numbers of voters.” A intelligent reply to “Let the voters resolve.” OTOH, one of the simplest ways for voters to have determined, over time, would have been for Part 5 to have been instantiated in laws, this being a consultant democracy. Extra: “Second, the Civil Warfare technology acknowledged that what began as an riot in a single state—the secession of South Carolina in December 1860—had metastasized right into a Civil Warfare…. Part 3 of the Fourteenth Modification was the Civil Warfare technology’s highly effective deterrent to make sure that even an at-first localized riot would by no means once more occur. See, e.g., Cong. Globe, thirty ninth Cong., 1st Sess. 2918 (Might 31, 1866) (Sen. Willey) (Part 3 ‘is a measure of self-defense. . . . [L]ooking to the longer term peace and safety of the nation.’). That deterrent labored for over 150 years. The duty of decoding that deterrent instructions respect.” • The deterrent argument is new to me. Nevertheless, I’m not seeing a footnote after “That deterrent labored for over 150 years.” When that [glassbowl] Woodrow Wilson jailed Eugene Debs, one can argue that he may have handled Debs as an insurrectionist. That he didn’t argues that the truth is Part Three is a useless letter (till it got here alive once more when Democrats and By no means-Trumpers, determined to discover a work-around to the poll, innovated).
“Transient for Professor Kermit Roosevelt, Trump v. Anderson” (PDF) [In the Supreme Court of the United States]. “[Chief Justice Salmon Chase]: ‘Within the very nature of issues, it should be ascertained what explicit people are embraced by the definition [of, e.g., insurrection], earlier than any sentence of exclusion might be made to function.’…. To some extent, that is correct. Earlier than a specific particular person might be declared to be disqualified, some sort of process is important. And it might even be {that a} habeas petition will not be the right process. However it doesn’t observe that the wanted process can solely be supplied by Congress. As mentioned under, state courts and state legislatures play an lively function within the enforcement of constitutional guidelines.” • Not shopping for it. The temporary leaves out Chase’s key level: “[A] building, which should essentially event nice private and non-private, mustn’t ever be most popular to a building which is able to event neither.” As I wrote:
And what do now we have? Two completely different (“varied”) branches of presidency, judicial and govt, in two states utilizing two utterly completely different evidentiary requirements. Add one or two extra states, one other department, and some extra evidentiary requirements, and also you’ve bought a combinatorial explosion of “common authority”! And what’s the common voter to assume? That the one consequence that issues is kicking Trump off the poll, in order that Maine’s “relaxed” and Colorado’s “clear and convincing” each quantity to due course of? And whereas we’re speaking about evidentiary requirements, no matter occurred to “past an inexpensive doubt”? With the Justice Division and full political class bellowing for Trump to be convicted, why on earth has Biden’s Justice Division by no means charged him underneath 18 U.S. Code § 2383 – Riot or riot? One may be forgiven for concluding that they by no means charged him as a result of they couldn’t convict him. So, by definition, Maine and Colorado, of their choices, are disqualifying Trump although there’s “cheap doubt” that he’s an insurrectionist…. ‘Nice private and non-private mischief’ is precisely what is going on right here. That is the Pandora’s field that [Baud and Paulsen have] gleefully opened. These already whacky outcomes present the clearest doable indication that Griffin was accurately determined, and that there ought to be nationwide laws to deal with the ascertainment points Chase described.
“Transient of Constitutional Regulation Professor Mark Graber, Trump v. Anderson” (PDF) [In the Supreme Court of the United States]. “When Part Three of the Fourteenth Modification was framed, constitutional attorneys acknowledged that an riot concerned a) an assemblage, b) resisting any legislation or interfering with the course of a governmental continuing, c) by power or intimidation, d) for a public goal. Individuals engaged in an riot after they incited, assisted, or in any other case acted in live performance with others bent on resisting legislation by power or violence for a public goal. The Members of Congress who performed a vital function drafting Part Three acknowledged that no distinction existed between inciting and fascinating in an riot.” • So, in 2009, when Dr. Margaret Flowers and different single payer advocates (“an assemblage”) interrupted (“by power”) Sen. Max Baucus’s hearings (“interfer[ed] with the course of a governmental continuing”) as a result of single payer witnesses weren’t included (“for a public goal”), and had been hauled away by the Capitol police, they had been engaged in riot? GTFO. Most civil disobedience occasions would even be included.
“Transient of Specialists in Democracy, Trump v. Anderson” (PDF) [In the Supreme Court of the United States]. “There are numerous danger elements that make democracies extra prone to falter or fail. However no single aspect is as vital as an elected chief conceding energy peacefully primarily based on the need of the voters. Nations whose leaders take that motion are democratic – nevertheless intolerant or flawed they might be. The peaceable transition of energy is so vital that one of many twentieth century’s foremost political scientists, Samuel Huntington, established the benchmark that no democracy might be thought-about safely consolidated till one celebration had peacefully transferred energy to a different, and the identical had occurred within the different path. The US will not be the primary democracy to have an incumbent chief refuse to concede after authorized challenges had been exhausted. However there are not any parallels amongst sturdy, consolidated democracies. The occasions of January 6 sadly bear nearer resemblance to what occurs in among the world’s weakest democracies…. This temporary will not be submitted frivolously. There are grave points to contemplate in eradicating a presidential candidate from deliberation by the voters. Taking a well-liked candidate out of consideration can breed mistrust within the system. And but, this concern is equally legitimate if the court docket fails to behave: mistrust within the system is exactly what has been fueled by the riot and claims of fraud perpetuated by the previous President. In nations the place courts have averted their function as an equal, unbiased department with the ability to override Executives on problems with constitutionality, democracy continues to slide away. So does the independence of the courts themselves.” • This appears to me to be the strongest temporary traditionally and sociologically. There appears to be no unique Constitutional argumentation in it. I’d additionally be aware that democracy hasn’t reached its parlous state due to one man; ask any Sanders voter.
GH: “Trump’s Reply Transient is now due on Monday, with oral argument subsequent Thursday. That will probably be a giant day.” And a busy week!
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
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“Bloomberg ballot: Biden dropping floor to Trump on immigration” [Axios]. “The share of voters who mentioned immigration was the ‘single most vital difficulty’ to them in November went up in six of the seven swing states polled in a brand new Bloomberg Information/Morning Seek the advice of survey. 61% of these voters in these states say Biden is not less than considerably answerable for the wave of migration on the U.S.-Mexico border. On the identical query, 30% blamed the Trump administration and 38% blamed congressional Republicans. Voters in these states say they belief Trump over Biden on immigration 52% to 30%. The 22 proportion level margin is up 5 factors because the final ballot in December. Arizona*, Nevada, Georgia*, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania*, and Michigan* are the seven states featured within the ballot.” • NOTE * Flipped from backing Trump in 2016 to backing Biden in 2020.
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Haley (R): “Nikki Haley’s ‘sticky’ downside: Will massive donors keep?” [New York Post]. “In Haley’s considerably unusual quest for the GOP nomination, she wants massive cash greater than votes from the celebration’s rank and file. It helps her keep within the race lengthy sufficient to hope Trump face-plants in a approach that makes her the nominee, perhaps with out successful a single state, consultants near her admit. Haley’s dilemma, after all, is that she’s a average in a populist celebration. The previous country-club-types, Wall Road execs and free-marketeers are actually a back-bench caucus. Donald Trump’s MAGA motion has transformed the GOP base to “blue” — as in blue-collar, anti-globalist, and positively not Wall Road-friendly. He funds his marketing campaign together with his personal (allegedly) huge wealth however largely by way of contributions from these base voters and the equal of free adverts buys, intense media protection each time he says one thing loopy. Candidates like Haley want cash from the non-populist however nonetheless cash-rich fat-cat minority to compete and hopefully outlast The Donald.” • In different phrases, Haley is completely not natural, a creature of the funders?
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DeSantis (R): “‘Traitor’: After bitter major, DeSantis could battle to win over Trump supporters if he runs once more” [Associated Press]. “However after a scorched-earth major by which Trump pounded DeSantis viciously for the higher a part of a 12 months, interviews with voters throughout early-voting states recommend the Florida governor could have an uphill battle if he chooses to run for president once more in 2028. Many Trump supporters not solely dislike DeSantis, however echo Trump’s assertions that DeSantis betrayed him and say they’d by no means contemplate him once more. ‘I feel he stabbed Trump within the again,’ mentioned Pamela Shinkwin, 73, who lives in Massachusetts and traveled to New Hampshire for one of many former president’s last rallies earlier than his double-digit victory within the major. DeSantis’ marketing campaign towards Trump had soured her on the governor, she mentioned. Mary Sullivan, 76, a retired registered nurse from Manchester, slammed each DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley for daring to run within the first place.” • However 73 and 76…. Anyhow, DeSantis was only a horrible candidate. Why would he run once more, any greater than Marco Rubio did?
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RFK Jr (I): “Half of RFK Jr.’s Large Fundraising Haul Got here From Two Folks” [Rolling Stone]. “Robert Kennedy Jr. and an excellent PAC backing his 2024 presidential marketing campaign have raised $50 million, in line with new federal election data launched Wednesday. Half of that staggering money haul has come from two folks. Timothy Mellon, a Republican megadonor who has additionally backed former President Donald Trump, has donated one other $10 million to the pro-Kennedy tremendous PAC, American Values 2024. Mellon, an inheritor to the Mellon banking fortune, gave a complete of $15 million to the group in 2023. He individually donated $10 million to Make America Nice Once more Inc., a pro-Trump tremendous PAC, within the second half of 2023. Gavin de Becker, who leads Kennedy’s non-public safety workforce, donated $5.5 million to American Values 2024 in October; he has given a complete of $10 million to the pro-Kennedy tremendous PAC.”
RFK Jr (I): “RFK Jr.’s doable Libertarian bid rankles Democrats” [The Hill]. “Kennedy’s consideration of one other celebration change comes as he faces important scrutiny over whether or not he’ll be capable of qualify for sufficient ballots nationwide as an Unbiased heading into the overall election after unsuccessfully primarying Biden…. Racking up sufficient signatures to qualify as an Unbiased, he burdened, will not be prone to be a difficulty, with deadlines up till August. ‘We’ll be on the poll in each state,’ he asserted, including that he has a ‘floor workforce’ working in essentially the most essential states. However Democrats are nonetheless largely dismissive about his push to achieve poll entry throughout the nation. Their want is that he falls in need of the roughly half-dozen states that will probably be consequential to each main events within the fall. Kennedy working as a Libertarian, nevertheless, may change the result of the race in unknown methods. It could additionally make it simpler for him to look on Election Day ballots, consultants say. ‘This is able to assist RFK Jr. when it comes to poll entry, because the Libertarians have already got entry in lots of locations,’ mentioned Kyle Kondik, an election analyst and managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball on the College of Virginia Heart for Politics. ‘The Libertarians have been essentially the most constant third-party presence in American politics over the previous few a long time,’ he mentioned. Kennedy has to date taken small steps to familiarize himself with the Libertarian trigger. He’s slated to talk on the celebration’s conference in California, a delegate-rich state the place he has began gathering signatures, in line with his marketing campaign’s poll entry web site.” • I don’t assume talking at a celebration conference is ever a “small step.”
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MI: “Biden’s workforce is blaming Iran for American deaths. How will the US reply?” [Politico]. “Biden’s assist for Israel has damage the marketing campaign badly with the sizable Arab-American inhabitants in Michigan, and his workforce is scrambling to seek out different paths to victory within the battleground state, in line with two marketing campaign advisers granted anonymity as a result of they aren’t approved to talk publicly about technique.”
Republican Funhouse
“Trump Allies Pledge ‘Holy Warfare’ Towards Taylor” [Rolling Stone]. “Based on three folks acquainted with the matter, Trump loyalists engaged on or near the previous president’s marketing campaign, longtime Trump allies in right-wing media, and an array of outdoor advisers to the ex-president have lengthy taken it as a provided that Swift will finally endorse Biden (as she did in 2020). Certainly, a number of of those Republicans and conservative media figures have mentioned the matter with Trump over the previous few months, the sources say…. Whereas Swift has not but issued an endorsement within the 2024 race, The New York Instances reported Monday that Swift is a key title on Biden aides’ ‘want lists of potential surrogates.’ A possible Swift look at Tremendous Bowl LVIII alongside her boyfriend, Kansas Metropolis Chiefs tight finish Travis Kelce, has already prompted the MAGA proper’s culture-war pugilists right into a conspiracy-fueled froth about how this NFL season has been rigged to spice up Biden…. Behind the scenes, Trump has reacted to the potential for Biden and Swift teaming up towards him this 12 months not with alarm, however with an immediate projection of ego. In current weeks, the previous president has informed folks in his orbit that no quantity of A-list movie star endorsements will save Biden. Trump has additionally privately claimed that he’s ‘extra common’ than Swift and that he has extra dedicated followers than she does, an individual near Trump and one other supply with information of the matter inform Rolling Stone.” • This clip has resurfaced and is making the rounds:
Taylor Swift’s dad: What in the event that they write “Taylor Swift comes out towards Trump”?
Swift: “I don’t care in the event that they write that. I’m unhappy that I didn’t two years in the past. That is one thing that I do know is true.”
She then goes on to slam Marsha Blackburn.pic.twitter.com/20I937WJR5
— No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen (@NoLieWithBTC) January 29, 2024
Realignment and Legitimacy
“6 initiatives head to WA poll with $6M assist of Brian Heywood” [Seattle Times]. “Pouring greater than $6 million of his cash right into a paid signature-gathering marketing campaign, Heywood has nearly single-handedly bankrolled six initiatives which can be doubtless headed to the November poll. The unprecedented initiative slate would remove the state’s new capital good points tax, repeal a landmark local weather legislation, enable folks to choose out of a long-term care payroll tax and reverse police-pursuit restrictions handed in recent times by the Legislature. They’d additionally ban native and state revenue taxes and assure mother and father entry to info on Ok-12 faculty curricula and faculty medical data. All six initiatives have been licensed as having acquired the required signatures to make the 2024 poll. The ultimate one, focusing on the state’s long-term care payroll tax, was licensed on Friday by the Secretary of State’s Workplace.” • Paradoxically, Heywood moved to Washington from California, the place the results of the initiative course of has been combined at finest.
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the tackle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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Search for the Helpers
“Low-Price Mitigation of Aerosol Pathogen Transmission in Expedient Out of doors Housing” [Nukit Research and Development, GoogleDocs]. First paragraph: “We had been contacted on January tenth, 2024, and requested to advise on [Covid] mitigation for a typical however poorly studied indoor area—a small cabin or tent that served because the residing preparations for ‘Froglet’ Taylor, a 43-year-old unhoused lady residing in Houston, Texas.” • Mitigation required as a result of Froglet shares the tent with others when its chilly, and it’s a 3C’s area par excellence (closed, crowded, shut contact). Value studying in full. (NuKit is Naomi Wu, for many who haven’t adopted the account).
Maskstravaganza
“Penn Jillette Needs to Discuss It All Out” [Cracked]. Conversion expertise:
For thus lengthy, you recognized as Libertarian. What modified?
I utterly haven’t used the phrase Libertarian in describing myself since I bought an e mail throughout lockdown the place an individual from a Libertarian group wrote to me and mentioned, “We’re doing an anti-mask demonstration in Vegas, and clearly we’d such as you to move it.” I checked out that e mail and I went, “The very fact they despatched me this e mail is one thing I have to be very ashamed of, and I would like to alter.” Now, you may make the argument that perhaps you don’t have to mandate masks — you may make the argument that perhaps that shouldn’t be the federal government’s job — however you can’t make the argument that you just shouldn’t put on masks. It’s the precise reciprocal of seatbelts as a result of if I don’t put on a seatbelt, my possibilities of fucking myself up enhance — if I don’t put on a masks, the possibility of fucking another person up enhance.
Many occasions once I recognized as Libertarian, folks mentioned to me, “It’s simply wealthy white guys that don’t need to be informed what to do,” and I had a zillion solutions to that — and now that appears one hundred pc correct.
Testing and Monitoring
“Replication-Competent Virus Detected in Blood of a Deadly COVID-19 Case” (case research) [Annals of Internal Medicine]. From the Dialogue: ” Our case proves that replication-competent SARS-CoV-2 can site visitors in blood throughout COVID-19 and seed tissues all through the physique. Use of a permissive Vero cell line elevated sensitivity of detecting SARS-CoV-2 in plasma from our affected person, as did utilizing plasma from a critically ailing however seronegative affected person. Cell tradition induced minor SARS-CoV-2 sequence variability, in step with identified Vero E6 cell tradition results, however total, the identical isolate was recovered earlier than and after tradition from the lungs, plasma, and coronary heart of this affected person. Additional research are wanted to find out the implications of our findings for individuals contaminated with SARS-CoV-2 variants, these with delicate sickness, individuals not too long ago vaccinated, or individuals with waning immunity after pure an infection or vaccination.” • As far as I can inform, Crimson Cross blood donation coverage doesn’t require a take a look at for Covid.
Elite Maleficence
“Urge the CDC to Hearken to Frontline Well being Care Staff and Sufferers!” [National Nurses United]. “The Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC) has tasked its advisory committee (HICPAC) to replace an infection management steerage for well being care settings. HICPAC’s draft, which was finalized by a unanimous vote in November 2023, proposes to weaken present apply and fails to acknowledge the science on aerosol transmission and respiratory safety. After conducting its evaluation, the CDC is sending again HICPAC’s draft for extra work!” • Signal the Petition!
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TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new in the present day; all others usually are not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] Even after a decline, we’re nonetheless increased than any of the surges underneath Trump.
[2] Slight enhance in MWRA wastewater knowledge, as of January 25, i.e. the incubation interval from the coed’s return:
[3] “As of Might 11, genomic surveillance knowledge will probably be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of constructive take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
[4] “Charts and knowledge supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, not less than for its time interval, that Covid will not be seasonal, although CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections. And naturally, we’re not even stepping into the standard of the wastewater websites that now we have as a proxy for Covid an infection total.
[5] Lower for town aligns with wastewater knowledge.
[6] “Maps, charts, and knowledge supplied by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] -0.7%. (It could be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer strain, went and bought examined anyhow.)
[8] Lambert right here: Share and absolute numbers down.
[9] Up, albeit within the rear view mirror.
Stats Watch
Employment Scenario: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of folks claiming for unemployment advantages within the US rose for a second consecutive week to 224K within the week ended January twenty seventh, the best studying since mid-November, in comparison with an upwardly revised 215K within the earlier week and forecast of 212K.”
Employment Scenario: “United States Challenger Job Cuts” [Trading Economics]. “US-based employers introduced plans to chop 82307 jobs in January 2024, essentially the most in ten months, in comparison with 34817 in December 2023. Except final January’s whole, that is the best variety of job cuts introduced in January since January 2009.” • Oof.
Manufacturing: “United States ISM Buying Managers Index (PMI)” [Trading Economics]. “The ISM Manufacturing PMI within the US improved to 49.1 in January 2024, the best since October 2022, from 47.1 in December, and effectively above forecasts of 47. The studying continued to level to a contraction within the manufacturing sector, though at a a lot softer tempo, as demand reasonably improved, output remained secure and inputs are accommodative.”
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Manufacturing: “Tesla sued for allegedly mishandling hazardous waste in California for years” [TechCrunch]. “Tesla has been sued by 25 California counties alleging the automaker has repeatedly mishandled hazardous waste at services all through the state. The lawsuit was filed after months of settlement talks apparently fell aside. The grievance, filed in San Joaquin County Superior Courtroom, states that Tesla improperly labeled and disposed of supplies like ‘lead acid batteries and different batteries,’ paints, brake fluid, aerosols, antifreeze, acetone, diesel gasoline and extra at its manufacturing and repair services all through the state. Tesla additionally allegedly improperly disposed of the waste, each on-site and at landfills that may’t settle for hazardous waste.”
Tech: “How exhausting is it to cheat with ChatGPT in technical interviews? We ran an experiment” [interviewing.io]. “We had been shocked to find that interviewers reported no suspicions of dishonest, and curiously, interviewees had been largely assured that they had been getting away with it, too. 81% reported no considerations about being caught, 13% thought they may have tipped off the interviewer, and an astonishingly small 6% of contributors thought the interviewer suspected them of dishonest.”
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Right this moment’s Concern & Greed Index: 66 Greed (earlier shut: 64 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 73 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Feb 1 at 1:37:49 PM ET.
E-book Nook
“Towards Disruption: On the Bulletpointization of Books” [Literary Hub]. “The recognition of e-book abstract providers like Blinkist and Shortform is an ideal encapsulation of what will get misplaced (nuance) within the bulletpointification of books, by which each bit of data is served in digestible bite-sized parts that you could add proper to your mind. A current Blinkist submit titled ‘7 Blinks To Perceive the Battle Between Israel and Hamas,’ could provide you with some thought of the dimensions of such bullet level derangement, as if a blink was a correct unit of measurement to make use of to grasp a genocide occurring earlier than the world’s eyes. I’ve seen many VC-funded e-book startups come and go, often led by well-intentioned individuals who assume they’ve a good suggestion about the right way to ‘save’ books. Bear in mind the entire startups saying that they’d be the Netflix of books? The newest bunch of startups which can be for certain going to ‘repair’ what’s improper with books are centered on AI. Yann LeCun, the chief AI scientist at Meta, proposed in a tweet about AI assistants that if Tim O’Reilly of O’Reilly Media defines books as ‘a consumer interface to information,’ then AI assistants are poised to turn into ‘a greater consumer interface to information.’” • Provided that the crooks within the AI world can steal all O’Reilly’s content material for his or her coaching units.
Zeitgeist Watch
The responses are… enlightening:
Elmo is simply checking in! How is everyone doing?
— Elmo (@elmo) January 29, 2024
I attempt to not hate, and particularly not hate establishments (a class error, I feel). That mentioned, I’d make an exception for the CDC:
Thanks for checking in, Elmo! Typically, all of us want just a little assist.
When you need assistance, you possibly can discuss with our buddies at @988lifeline:· Name or textual content 988· Chat at https://t.co/aLLohASutY
988 is confidential, free, and obtainable 24/7/365. https://t.co/sqqTtlkj6V
— CDC (@CDCgov) January 31, 2024
Shut up. Shut up, shut up, shut up. And naturally:
I understand how exhausting it’s some days to brush the clouds away and get to sunnier days.
Our pal Elmo is true: We have now to be there for one another, provide our assist to a neighbor in want, and above all else, ask for assist once we want it.
Although it is exhausting, you are by no means alone. https://t.co/ffMJekbowo
— President Biden (@POTUS) January 31, 2024
“Response to Elmo’s “checking in” submit underscores U.S. psychological well being disaster” [Axios]. “The responses to Elmo’s submit that was seen an estimated 140 million-plus occasions underscore a rising psychological well being disaster throughout the U.S. and a nationwide spike in anxiousness and despair, with younger folks driving an increase in psychological well being spending in recent times.” One may see a refusal to “reside in worry” (such an odd phrase) as a response to this. Extra: “American spending on psychological well being with non-public insurance coverage surged throughout the pandemic, whereas Gallup polling in 2023 discovered 23% of U.S. adults visited a psychological well being skilled in 2022, in comparison with 13% in 2004. Three current research recommend overdose deaths, despair and boundaries to care have weighed heaviest on deprived and minority teams — and so they’re aligning to widen well being disparities because the U.S. emerges from the pandemic, per Axios’ Caitlin Owens.” • “[E]merges from the pandemic” from the pandemic is delicately put. I’m wondering if the pandemic might be — hear me out — the widespread think about all these social sequelae?
Class Warfare
Covid and the labor power:
Not a “political difficulty” in any respect, after all. Readers, any anecdotes like this from you? This account is from New York, the place we all know Covid has been spiking.
NOTE That is one other try to chop down on jaggies from textual content display screen dumps. Readers?
And:
The 1% INSISTS all of us reside usually, however they’re additionally working & attending faculties with state-of-the artwork protections. With no testing/knowledge/media protection, they received’t discover when the underside drops out. Sustaining order & the established order are the one priorities. This can be a class battle.
— Laura Miers (@LauraMiers) January 30, 2024
Plus ça change….
80 12 months previous political comics are nonetheless related as a result of we reside in a capitalist hellscape the place nothing ever adjustments pic.twitter.com/el7Dln7RR0
— Gritty is the Approach (@Gritty20202) January 24, 2024
“What’s Going On, Truly” [Radio Sof]. “The issues come up after all when silly folks resembling myself naively imagine {that a} Physician of Science should be considering Science, that establishments that educate philosophy should be considering Reality and Justice, that giant non secular organizations that observe the teachings of Jesus should be within the Poor, and so forth and so forth. Oops! In brief, in each establishment, there are the people who find themselves there due to the establishment’s increased or summary beliefs resembling Studying, Music, Jesus, Sports activities, Science, and many others. and many others., after which there are the people who find themselves there to leverage their skills to achieve energy contained in the establishment after which leverage the establishment to achieve energy on the earth at massive. And there’s all the time a few of every, however I all the time considered the latter because the minority, however now I’m not so certain.” • That is the excellence I’ve drawn between hegemonic and distinctive PMC (the distinctive being these “who’re there due to the establishment’s increased or summary beliefs,” and by definition within the minority). After all, this can be a binary, due to this fact improper, and there ought to most likely be not less than another bucket for many who simply preserve their heads down.
“Land Report 100” [The Land Report]. “In 2024, America’s largest landowner is Crimson Emmerson. Crimson and his household personal 2,411,000 acres in California, Oregon, and Washington by way of their timber-products firm, Sierra Pacific Industries. The Emmersons turned America’s largest landowners in 2021 after they acquired 175,000 acres in Oregon from Seneca Timber Firm. With that acquisition, the Emmersons surpassed Liberty Media chairman John Malone’s 2,200,000 acres. CNN founder Ted Turner is America’s third largest landowner with 2 million acres within the Southeast, on the Nice Plains, and throughout the West.” • That is the unique report, beforehand cited by RT.
Information of the Wired
Alert reader PI sends this:
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Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are effective! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you need your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From IM:
IM writes: “A January picture, although it appears to be like quite inexperienced. Nonetheless air for mirror-like reflections, cedars rising within the swampy situations they love. On Mayne Island within the strait of Georgia.” Swamp in a great way.
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So if you happen to see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to specific your appreciation in tangible type. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. Once I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get fearful. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising targets:
Right here is the display screen that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
When you hate PayPal, you possibly can e mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I gives you instructions on the right way to ship a verify. Thanks!
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