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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chook Track of the Day
American Goldfinch, Tompkins, New York, United States. A woodpecker, too.
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In Case You May Miss…
(1) Democrats and the working class.
(2) Starry Night time, up to date.
(3) Diddy, Son of Epstein?
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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2024
Lower than a yr to go!
RCP Ballot Averages, April 5
Right here is Friday’s RCP ballot. Trump continues to be up in all of the Swing States (extra right here), however nonetheless main with one exception: PA. I’ve highlighted it once more, (1) as a result of BIden is now up there, and (2) it’s an outlier, has been for weeks. Why isn’t Trump doing effectively there? (I’ll work out a greater method to do that, however for now: Blue dot = transfer towards Biden; pink dot = transfer towards Trump. No statistical signficance to any of it, and state polls are dangerous anyhow!)
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Trump (R): “Florida man discovered with contraband” [Adam’s Legal Newsletter]. “Donald Trump contends that he can’t be prosecuted for possessing categorised paperwork at Mar-a-Lago as a result of, whereas he was President, he exercised his authority underneath the Presidential Information Act (PRA) to categorize these paperwork as “private data.” On April 4, 2024, Choose Cannon denied Trump’s movement to dismiss the felony indictment primarily based on that idea, whereas declining to resolve the events’ dispute on the right interpretation of the PRA. On this put up I’ll provide my tackle this fracas. Government abstract: 1. The PRA protection is horrible, but in addition sort of humorous. 2. The court docket’s order on this subject was misguided, however 3. P(Doom) on this specific subject is low.” PDoom is the chance of doom (for some definition of doom). I feel that’s a neat assemble! The entire article is effectively value a learn.
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Trump (R): “Contained in the Terrifyingly Competent Trump 2024 Marketing campaign” [Vanity Fair]. Essential. “Trump’s 2024 marketing campaign has already demonstrated Trump can run an efficient operation. ‘This marketing campaign is locked down,’ a Republican near Trump mentioned. In earlier cycles, Trump populated his campaigns with big egos like Roger Stone, Kushner, Ivanka, Steve Bannon, Kellyanne Conway, Corey Lewandowski, and Brad Parscale, amongst others. In 2024, Trump’s inside circle is made up of heads-down operatives Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Miller, and James Blair, who don’t play their agendas by the media. ‘You may have skilled individuals who don’t leak,’ longtime Trump confidant Stone mentioned. Trump trusts his senior staff to do their jobs. Previously, Trump labored the telephone continually, soliciting recommendation from a large circle of pals, household, Manhattan enterprise associates, and media personalities. Trump’s model of pitting staffers in opposition to each other created an incentive to leak. ‘The aspect whose opinion misplaced would run to the media,’ a 2020 marketing campaign veteran defined. ‘This time, he’s not speaking to randos.’ Most of all, Trump is disciplined as a result of worry is a strong motivator: His wealth and freedom are at stake.” And: “In early February 2023, Miller, the CEO of right-wing social media platform Gettr, joined the marketing campaign as senior strategist and messaging guru. With Miller and spokesperson Steven Cheung driving the message, the marketing campaign began to vary the information cycle. Trump visited the city of East Palestine, Ohio, weeks after a practice derailment prompted a disastrous chemical hearth.” Too dangerous Biden by no means confirmed up. Extra: “In October 2022, the 56-year-old Marine veteran, who has a shaved head and linebacker construct, joined the marketing campaign as senior adviser. LaCivita is a practitioner of the political darkish arts. In the course of the 2004 presidential election, he suggested the Swift Boat Veterans for Fact group that smeared John Kerry’s Vietnam Conflict document. It was a supreme act of chutzpah: Kerry’s opponent, George W. Bush, by no means served in Vietnam. LaCivita is greater than a avenue brawler. He has a Talmudic understanding of major guidelines. Final summer season, LaCivita lobbied state Republican events to vary their processes to favor Trump. (For instance, he satisfied the California GOP to apportion all delegates to the winner.) ‘Whereas everybody was dicking round final yr, the Trump folks have been altering all these occasion guidelines, getting their folks in place, altering the battlefield,’ a prime GOP strategist mentioned.” • Presumably, the marketing campaign staff has discovered a option to benefit from Trump’s court docket appearances. The story opens with a hilarious anecdote of Trump making seven million bucks in two days off his Atlanta mugshot.
Trump (R): “Trump warns: “lunatic” Biden may begin World Conflict III” [Infobrics]. TRUMP: “This man has no clue. He can’t put two sentences collectively, and he’s coping with Putin, and he’s coping with President Xi, and he’s coping with Kim Jong-un. All folks I do know very effectively. We have been underneath no risk from anyone till this man bought in workplace. Now they’re speaking nuclear on a regular basis. We didn’t speak nuclear…. You have been secure as a result of they revered your president, and so they revered america of America. And now you’re not secure. I’ll inform you we may find yourself in World Conflict III with this lunatic.” Attention-grabbing to see Infobrics selecting up a FOX transcript. And on nuclear warfare: Is Trump improper? That improper?
Trump (R): “Trump Says States Ought to Chart Their Personal Path on Abortion” [Wall Street Journal]. “Former President Donald Trump mentioned abortion ought to be left to the states, avoiding taking a place on the variety of weeks at which the process ought to be banned as he tries to navigate a difficulty that has animated Democrats.
‘My view is now that we have now abortion the place everyone needed it from a authorized standpoint, the states will decide by vote or laws or maybe each. And no matter they determine have to be the legislation of the land,’ Trump mentioned Monday in a marketing campaign video. ‘Many states can be completely different…On the finish of the day, that is all in regards to the will of the folks.’ Trump’s stance is unlikely to please non secular conservatives who need him to embrace harder restrictions, and one distinguished group rapidly expressed its disappointment. And Democrats are sure to proceed in charge him for the 2022 Supreme Court docket ruling that ended the constitutional proper to the process.” • In fact they are going to, however that’s solely as a result of they by no means take responsibillity for something (together with the composition of the Court docket).
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Biden (D): “Biden Not Solely Cause for Dems To Panic” [RealClearPolitics]. “What issues much more is that the Republican Social gathering is exhibiting indicators of waking up from its lengthy uniparty slumber and recognizing that preventing again is one of the best ways to win an election. You noticed components of this renewed engagement final month when the brand new management of the GOP opted to accomplice with neighborhood activist Scott Presler to extend voter registration and authorized poll harvesting in battleground states. Presler, the co-founder of Gays for Trump, goes by the deal with #ThePersistence on social media, and his assist for Donald Trump and MAGA has seen him journey tirelessly in pursuit of each authorized Republican vote he can discover. Final month, he was registering members of the Amish neighborhood in Pennsylvania. Good!… Grassroots Republicans, who see themselves turning into empowered by folks like Presler and Kirk, and by the Precinct Technique program that’s taking management of the Republican Social gathering away from the Previous Guard. No surprise Democrats are panicking. In the event that they lose their higher hand in recruiting new voters, turning out the early vote and seizing each alternative to enhance their probabilities for victory in battleground states, then the electoral map may very probably rework right into a landslide victory for Trump and the Republicans.”
Biden (D): “Choose calls out blatant double customary in the case of Biden’s Justice Division and Hunter” [Jonathan Turley, New York Post]. “The Home is within the midst of an impeachment inquiry that features allegations of affect over the Hunter investigation. Whereas insisting that there was no strain or particular dealing within the matter, the DOJ has blocked key sources of proof. That led to the Home subpoenas…. The one method for the Home to analyze such corrupt particular dealings is to interview the precept actors, together with these two attorneys. In any other case, as Democratic members have finished, critics can insist that they don’t have any direct proof of wrongdoing…. [US District Judge Ana Reyes] famous the plain: “There’s an individual in jail proper now since you all introduced a felony lawsuit in opposition to him as a result of he didn’t seem for a Home subpoena.” The DOJ demanded six months in jail. Navarro is serving a four-month sentence…. The Justice Division insisted that it’s completely different when its personal prosecutors refuse to testify and famous that the Home had additionally refused a requirement to produce other Justice Division attorneys current for the depositions. They then burdened that the choice to defy the subpoena got here after prolonged deliberations ‘at a excessive degree.’” Like what? The Oval Workplace? Extra: “Reyes then requested if the DOJ would drop its opposition if it have been allowed to have DOJ attorneys within the room for the questioning. When the attorneys mentioned they might not reply that query at the moment, Reyes exclaimed, ‘Are you kidding me?’”
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Kennedy (I): “Robert F. Kennedy Jr. questions prosecutions for Jan. 6 assault, says he desires to listen to ‘each aspect’” [Associated Press]. “Unbiased presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in a prolonged assertion Friday steered that the prosecution of rioters who violently attacked the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, is likely to be politically motivated, partly aligning himself with the false portrayal being pushed by former President Donald Trump and his allies.” What on earth does “partly aligning” imply? Extra: “‘One can, as I do, oppose Donald Trump and all he stands for, and nonetheless be disturbed by the weaponization of presidency in opposition to him,’ Kennedy mentioned.” • The gallows nonetheless making an look, I see.
Kennedy (I): “Spoiler alert: RFK Jr. embraces the chaos, has Democrats ‘paranoid’ he’ll value Biden” [Washington Examiner]. “‘Democrats are proper to take the third-party risk very critically. Donald Trump is brazenly rooting for each No Labels and RFK to empty Democratic votes,’ mentioned Matt Bennett, the manager vp for public affairs at Third Approach, a centrist Democratic group, in a press release to the Washington Examiner. ‘He remembers how third events received simply sufficient votes in 2016 to permit him to seize the three Blue Wall states and the presidency. Democrats discovered the laborious method how harmful third-party spoilers will be in a carefully divided voters and are mobilizing allies throughout the anti-Trump coalition to forestall third events from serving to Trump win once more.”” • I don’t know the place this “Blue Wall” trope got here from. From the Labour Social gathering’s “Purple Wall” within the UK? It’s a rotten metaphor. Precincts aren’t like partitions (except you’re a toddler enjoying Threat, or an armchair strategist working from a map).
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“Democrats spar over registration as worries over younger and minority voters develop” [WaPo]. Essential. “For many years, nonpartisan teams allied with the Democratic Social gathering have run wide-ranging efforts geared toward growing voter registration amongst folks of coloration and younger folks — teams that are likely to lean Democratic however have traditionally voted at decrease charges than older and White folks. In recent times, nonetheless, there was a marked shift among the many roughly 1 in 5 residents of voting age who’re unregistered towards Republicans, elevating recent questions on how a lot boosting nonpartisan voter registration may assist presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump heading into November. Aaron Strauss, an influential knowledge scientist who helps direct progressive spending on the agency OpenLabs, sparked personal disagreements over this subject in January, when he despatched a few dozen main Democratic donors a confidential memo that challenged conventional nonpartisan registration. ‘Certainly, if we have been to blindly register nonvoters and get them on the rolls, we might be distinctly aiding Trump’s quest for a private dictatorship,” Strauss argued within the memo, which was obtained by The Washington Submit and cited current polling that confirmed Trump’s energy amongst unregistered voters. He additionally warned that efforts to achieve Democratic votes amongst youthful and non-Black folks of coloration have been typically costly — costing greater than $1,200 per internet vote in 2020, by one estimate — as a result of the teams now embrace so many non-Democrats. Amongst voters of coloration, he wrote that ‘solely African American registration is clearly a major alternative,’ including that netting Democratic voters amongst Black folks value roughly $575 per vote in 2020. He referred to as on donors to nonpartisan nonprofits to additionally donate to political teams that focus voter registration spending on ‘particular, closely pro-Biden populations’ like Black People, whereas utilizing extra focused methods amongst different teams to filter out possible Trump supporters.” • Heaving the NGOs over the aspect? Unthinkable!
“How Home Dems plan to make use of abortion poll initiatives on the marketing campaign path” [Politico]. “The DCCC is zeroing in on races in Arizona [swing], Colorado, Florida, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada [swing] and New York — all states that would have an abortion measure on the poll — with 18 races the place Democrats are enjoying protection or hope to flip GOP-held districts. The occasion sees abortion as a possible swing-seat turnout booster, pointing to purple-district Rep. Sharice Davids’ (D-Kan.) 2022 win after an abortion referendum was on her state’s poll and elevated turnout in Ohio final cycle.”
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FL: “Florida Is (Hypothetically) Winnable for Biden and the Democrats” [Washington Monthly]. “The 62 p.c supermajority in favor of the abortion rights referendum, from a November ballot by the College of North Florida, is buoyed by 53 p.c assist amongst Republicans. … Can abortion immediate a 3.4 share level shift within the presidential race and flip the state to Biden? The info from the 2022 midterms is uneven. Republican governors in Georgia and Texas have been re-elected in 2022 regardless of polls exhibiting opposition to their abortion bans. However abortion does seem to have helped speed up the bluing of Arizona, the place within the 2022 gubernatorial race, Democrat Katie Hobbs edged MAGA Republican Kari Lake by lower than a degree, following two double-digit victories by Republican Doug Ducey.”
FL: “Florida not in play as a swing state as GOP voters surge over Dems by practically 900K: DeSantis” [FOX]. “Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis believes Democrats don’t stand an opportunity within the Sunshine State going ahead. This comes as stories point out registered GOP voters now outpace Democrats by practically 900,000. ‘You’re speaking a few million-plus voter registration shift,’ DeSantis advised Fox Information’ Maria Bartiromo, saying that older numbers indicated Republicans have been behind their Democrat adversaries by practically 300,000 registered voters in 2018.” • That’s a steep hill to climb…
NE: “Contained in the battle over Nebraska’s electoral school votes” [Semafor]. “Six months in the past, Nebraska Republican Social gathering Chairman Eric Underwood pitched Ronna McDaniel on a easy thought that would assist the GOP win the presidency once more. Since 1991, Nebraska had cut up its electoral votes; two for the statewide winner, then three for the winner of every congressional district. Trump misplaced the Omaha-based 2nd district in 2020, and if the GOP misplaced it once more in 2024 — even when it flipped Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia — it might lose the presidency by a single vote. There was a invoice frozen within the state legislature that would change that, assigning all 5 electors to the statewide winner, if Republicans rescued it. Underwood’s query for the RNC chair and its authorized counsel was: Would the nationwide occasion assist? ‘In essence, the response was: I’m a federal officer, it is a state subject,’ Underwood recalled this week. ‘Thanks for the heads up, inform us the way it goes.’ The concept went nowhere till late Tuesday morning. Underwood bought a textual content from Tyler Bowyer, the chief working workplace of the conservative activist group Turning Level USA and an RNC committeeman from Arizona, who was one of many loudest voices within the profitable current marketing campaign to oust McDaniel. Bowyer requested if the Nebraska legislature was nonetheless in session, and whether or not the ‘winner-take-all’ invoice may nonetheless be revived. Underwood mentioned that it may. Inside 36 hours, that plan was endorsed by Gov. Jim Pillen, Sen. Pete Ricketts, Donald Trump, and a lot of the GOP supermajority within the unicameral state senate.” • So sure, the Trump operation is competent. (The invoice hadn’t handed, but it surely seems to be like Lara Trump can’t probably be worse than McDaniel.
OH: “Biden could also be lacking from Ohio’s normal election poll attributable to key deadline subject, election official warns” [FOX]. “President Biden could fail to get on Ohio’s normal election poll after the state’s prime election official warned his marketing campaign about lacking a key deadline on Friday. Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose, a Republican, notified prime Democratic officers that their occasion’s nationwide conference is scheduled to happen effectively previous the deadline for certifying a presidential candidate in Ohio. ‘The Democratic Nationwide Conference is scheduled to convene on August 19, 2024, which happens greater than every week after the August 7 deadline to certify a presidential candidate to the workplace,’ LaRose wrote to Ohio Democratic Social gathering Chairwoman Liz Walters, in response to the letter first obtained by ABC Information. ‘I’m left to conclude that the Democratic Nationwide Committee should both transfer up its nominating conference or the Ohio Basic Meeting should act by Could 9, 2024 (90 days previous to a brand new legislation’s efficient date) to create an exception to this statutory requirement,’ LaRose authorized counsel, Paul Disantis, wrote within the letter.” • Could 9 will not be distant.
PA: “‘Now They’re Voting Purple’: A Pennsylvania Fracking Growth Weighs on Biden’s Re-Election Possibilities” [Wall Street Journal]. “Pittsburgh is on the middle of a category inversion between the 2 events that’s redefining American politics. Democrats have traded their former blue-collar base for professional-class, metropolitan staff, whereas Republicans have change into overwhelmingly depending on working-class voters concentrated in far-flung suburbs, small cities and rural areas…. In Pennsylvania, the most important 2024 battleground state, President Biden’s victory 4 years in the past depended largely on massive beneficial properties amongst [the city’s heavily Democratic professional class]. However these beneficial properties have been overtaken by opposition from voters like Sabo, who works within the natural-gas trade, a sector that has given a lift to blue-collar staff in rural counties. These energy-economy voters see Biden as hostile to fracking, which faucets pure fuel trapped in sedimentary rock deep underground. The sector has drawn billions of {dollars} in new funding in Pennsylvania, a lot of it within the state’s southwest nook. Biden has been significantly damage by his choice to cancel the Keystone XL oil pipeline, which native corporations say lower into demand for his or her companies; and his order this yr to pause new permits to export liquefied pure fuel, which may deprive drillers of latest markets. Many of those voters additionally imagine the president’s push for People to undertake electrical automobiles will undercut jobs tied to fossil fuels.” And: “There may be little signal that Biden can regain substantial assist in seven largely working-class and rural counties that encompass [Pittsburgh], each considered one of which produced a bigger vote margin for Trump in 2020 than in 2016. The resistance to Biden’s vitality insurance policies is making it tougher for the incumbent to cease his occasion’s decline amongst noncollege voters there, forcing the occasion to wring extra votes out of a Democratic base elsewhere that, to date, appears dispirited.”
Democrats en Déshabillé
“Man Arrested for Setting Fireplace at Bernie Sanders’ Workplace. Motive Stays Unclear” [Time]. “Shant Soghomonian, 35, who was beforehand of Northridge, California, entered the constructing on Friday and went to Sanders’ third-floor workplace the place safety video confirmed him spraying a liquid on the door and setting it afire, officers mentioned. The constructing’s inside suffered some injury from the fireplace and sprinklers that doused the realm with water, however nobody was damage. Sanders, an unbiased, was not within the workplace on the time. Soghomonian was arrested Sunday on a cost of utilizing hearth to break a constructing utilized in interstate commerce, in response to a press release from Nikolas Kerest, the U.S. legal professional for Vermont. The motive remained unclear.” • What a bizarre cost. Anyhow, submitting this underneath “Democrats en Déshabillé” for causes which might be, at this level, apparent….
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Batya Ungar-Sargon: Class, Not Race, Is the Dividing Line in American Politics” [RealClearPolitics]. “Batya Ungar-Sargon, the deputy editor of Newsweek and writer of the brand new e-book, Second Class: How the Elites Betrayed America’s Working Males and Ladies, speaks with RCP Washington bureau chief Carl Cannon on Thursday’s version of the RealClearPolitics radio present”:
“Folks don’t discuss it like it’s an outrage,” [Ungar-Sargon] mentioned in regards to the transformation of the Democratic Social gathering into one thing aside from a celebration for the working class. “It’s such a fait accompli at this level that we overlook that it’s outrageous for a celebration that used to characterize labor, the little man in opposition to massive companies and the wealthy, utterly deserted that constituency to cater to an over-credentialed school elite on one hand, and the dependent poor on the opposite. And it’s double outrageous as a result of that occasion nonetheless masquerades because the occasion of the little man, despite the fact that it isn’t the case anymore.”
Carl Cannon requested: “Do they actually hate the working class, or are they simply of their politically right bubble and don’t see what they’re doing?”
“They can’t stand the concept that they are going to lose, even when they lose in a really clearly democratic method,” Ungar-Sargon mentioned. “They’re very comfy once they can sit there on cable information making tens of millions of {dollars} to sneer on the working class. They’re comfy when the working class can’t clap again.”
“This was actually Obama’s revolution, the concept that the ‘good set’ ought to run issues. We should always have an oligarchy of the credentialed. However when the working class has their audacity to vote in their very own curiosity and clap again by placing any person like Donald Trump in energy, that sneering contempt turns to hate.”
Nicely, sure, the Democrats actually do hate the working class; see Thomas Frank, Hear, Libera! (that’s, do your studying, Batya!). Nonetheless, it’s not solely the working class that voted for Trump; loads of native gentry voted for Trump as effectively. Additional, even when that is my sort of pink meat, let’s be clear that no one’s speaking about empowering the working class, as a category, definitely not Trump.
Pandemics
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the tackle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
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Airborne Transmission: Covid
“Proof from Entire Genome Sequencing of Aerosol Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 nearly 5 Hours after Hospital Room Turnover” (summary solely) [American Journal of Infection Control]. ” Entire genome sequencing throughout an outbreak steered in-room transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to 2 sufferers admitted practically 2 and 5 hours, respectively, after discharge of an asymptomatic contaminated affected person. These findings counsel that airborne SARS-CoV-2 could transmit an infection for over 4 hours, even in a hospital setting.” • Yo, HICPAC. Are you listening? MR SUBLIMINAL Lol no
“Investigation of a superspreading occasion previous the most important meat processing plant-related SARS-Coronavirus 2 outbreak in Germany” [SSRN]. 2020, missed it on the time. From the Summary: “Transmissions occurred in a confined space of a meat processing plant by which air is consistently re-circulated and cooled to 10°C. Index case B1 transmitted the virus to co-workers in a radius of greater than 8 meters throughout work-shifts on 3 consecutive days…. Our outcomes point out local weather situations and airflow as elements that may promote environment friendly unfold of SARS-CoV-2 by way of distances of greater than 8 meters and supply insights into attainable necessities for pandemic mitigation methods in industrial office settings.” • Like CAFOs?
Immune Dysregulation
“CDC Monitoring “Harmful” Bacterial An infection Spreading in New York” [WIBX]. “The New York State Division of Well being is monitoring the unfold of the “Neisseria meningitidis” micro organism. This virulent pressure is extremely invasive and might result in demise if left untreated. Neisseria meningitidis causes meningococcal illness in addition to a severe blood an infection referred to as meningococcal septicemia. This micro organism can be able to inflicting meningococcal meningitis as soon as it infects the linings of the mind and spinal twine. If this sounds alarming, that’s as a result of it’s. This micro organism is thought to strike rapidly and trigger severe well being problems and even demise inside days.” • CDC says it’s not airborne, luckily (not unfold by respiratory).
Transmission: H5N1
Vector transmission from @LazarusLong13:
“Detection of H5N1 Avian Influenza Virus from Mosquitoes Collected in an Contaminated Poultry Farm in Thailand” (PDF) [Vector-Borne And Zoonotic Diseases]. From 2008.
Blood-engorged mosquitoes have been collected at poultry farms throughout an outbreak of extremely pathogenic avian influenza in Central Thailand throughout October 2005. These mosquitoes examined optimistic for H5N1 virus by reverse transcription-polymerase chain response (RT-PCR). Outcomes have been confirmed by restricted sequencing of the H5 and
N1 segments. An infection and replication of this virus within the C6/36 mosquito cell line was confirmed by quantitative real-time PCR. Nonetheless, transmission by mosquitoes was not evaluated, and additional analysis is required.” • One thing to ponder.
“The potential of home flies to behave as a vector of avian influenza subtype H5N1 underneath experimental situations” [Medical and Veterinary Entomology]. From the Summary: “The current examine exhibits that the flies could harbour the [avian influenza (AI) H5N1] virus and will act as a mechanical vector of the AI virus.”
Sequelae: Covid
“COVID-19 and Its Ophthalmic Manifestations: A Literature Evaluation” [Cureus]. “The commonest ocular manifestations which have been famous are episcleritis and keratoconjunctivitis and irritation of the sclera and conjunctiva of the attention, respectively. A examine performed by Zhou et al. [10] examined postmortem eyes and surgical specimens of COVID-19-positive sufferers. Immunohistochemical assays have been carried out on every pattern, revealing angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors are expressed within the conjunctiva, cornea, and limbus floor of the attention. The findings offered on this paper emphasize the significance of the attention as a reservoir for COVID-19 and the way transmission can happen with out correct eye and hand care [10, 11]. The ACE 2 receptor is utilized by the virus to enter cells [12, 13]. One other examine confirmed neuropathic corneal ache as a debilitating manifestation of the long-COVID syndrome [14].” • I don’t suppose this supply is all that nice, but it surely shouldn’t be that tough to do a literature evaluation, and in any case I can’t discover KLG trashing them.
Elite Maleficence
WHO promotes saggy blues [bangs head on desk]:
When you’ve got doubts about air flow in enclosed areas, #WearAMask to assist shield your self and others from COVID-19, flu and different respiratory sicknesses. #StaySafe pic.twitter.com/w3k7x0eLyH
— World Well being Group (WHO) Western Pacific (@WHOWPRO) April 8, 2024
“Federal Choose Hits CDC Over Withholding Knowledge on Opposed Vaccine Experiences” [Jonathan Turley]. “The Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC) continues to withstand disclosing data on claimed unwanted side effects and issues with its COVID-19 vaccines, together with from healthcare staff. Resulting from a January order by U.S. District Choose Matthew Kacsmaryk in a Freedom of Data Act case, the CDC is being pressured to show over tons of of 1000’s of “free textual content” entries from V-safe. The court docket has scolded the CDC for its persevering with efforts to withhold data on these complaints…. For a yr, the CDC has been preventing these efforts. The lawsuit by the Knowledgeable Consent Motion Community, revealed ‘practically 8% of V-safe customers mentioned they required medical care, one other 12% couldn’t carry out regular every day actions and yet one more 13% mentioned they missed work or faculty.’ With restricted ‘packing containers’ equipped by the CDC, folks needed to write of their problems. The CDC then didn’t disclose these stories. The free-text entries reportedly assist one of the crucial controversial strikes by the CDC to downplay coronary heart problems. Litigants say that the brand new disclosures present a frequency of signs related to myocarditis – irritation of the the guts muscle myocardium.”
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TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new immediately; all others will not be up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (Biobot) Our curve has now flattened out at a degree far above valleys underneath Trump. Not an incredible victory. Observe additionally the realm “underneath the curve,” moreover peaks. That space is bigger underneath Biden than underneath Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if inconsistently.
[2] (Biobot) No backward revisons….
[3] (CDC Variants) As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge can be reported biweekly, primarily based on the provision of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Seems to be like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
[4] (ER) CDC appears to have killed this off, because the hyperlink is damaged, I feel in favor of this factor. I’ll attempt to verify. UPDATE Sure, go away it to CDC to kill a web page, after which announce it was archived a day later. And heaven forfend CDC ought to clarify the place to go to get equal knowledge, if any. I favored the ER knowledge, as a result of it appeared actually laborious to recreation…
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Seems to be like a really gradual leveling off to a non-zero baseline, to me.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.
[8] (Cleveland) Flattening.
[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Now up, albeit within the rear view mirror.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates completely.
[11] Seems to be just like the Instances isn’t reporting demise knowledge any extra? Perhaps I would like to return to The Economist:
The pandemic’s true demise toll is 4x the formally reported quantity. 28.2 million useless. The magnitude of this human tragedy is tough to grasp. A lot of this carnage was preventable however for the laissez faire perspective of our leaders. https://t.co/asiTYR8YvT
— Dr. Dick Zoutman (@DickZoutman) February 1, 2024
Stats Watch
There aren’t any statistics of curiosity immediately.
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As we speak’s Worry & Greed Index: 64 Greed (earlier shut: 61 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 67 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Apr 8 at 1:47:15 PM ET.
Rapture Index: Closes up two (!) on Earthquakes and Plagues. “The strongest quake in 25 years hit Taiwan” and “CDC says bacterial an infection instances are rising” [Rapture Ready]. File Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 187. (Do not forget that bringing on the Rapture is nice.) • Chook flu not a priority?
The Gallery
Up to date:
Si van Gogh hubiera tenido celular… pic.twitter.com/M8vkzeFZGp
— El Membership del Arte 🎨📷📚🖼🕍🎼 (@Arteymas_) April 8, 2024
Zeitgeist Watch
“Two weeks after raid on Diddy’s houses, it’s quiet on the information entrance” [WaPo]. “Two weeks in the past, federal brokers raided Sean “Diddy” Combs’s mansions in Miami and Los Angeles, trying to find proof tied to a sex-trafficking investigation. The surprising headlines prompted a wave of hypothesis that Combs, one of the crucial highly effective producers within the music trade, may quickly be arrested in connection to any of 5 current lawsuits accusing him of sexual assault. He has denied all the accusations.
However since then, there was no arrest and few, if any, revelations for tabloids.” • One can solely surprise why–
“Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs’ Former Bodyguard Claims Music Mogul Had Tapes of ‘Politicians’ and ‘Princes’” [Modernity]. “The previous bodyguard of Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs’ claims the music mogul had blackmail tapes of politicians, princes and different distinguished people who have been concerned in his intercourse events. Gene Deal, who was current the evening when Infamous B.I.G. was fatally shot in 1997, made the sensational feedback throughout an interview with ‘The Artwork of Dialogue’ YouTube channel. ‘I don’t suppose it’s solely celebrities gonna be shook. He had politicians in there, he had princes in there. He additionally had a few preachers in there,’ mentioned Deal. ‘Are you able to think about, he had each room bugged,’ he added. When requested why Combs’ media division had stayed silent on the allegations in opposition to him, Deal responded, ‘Both they took half in among the stuff that occurred, or they’re scared that it could mess up their model.’ Fox Information host Jesse Watters speculated that the tapes, in the event that they exist, at the moment are within the fingers of the feds and ‘that’s a variety of blackmail.’” • Certainly. “I’d say that our Mr. Swain has not too long ago come into possession of a really high-grade supply of intelligence and is busy changing it into energy. ” –William Gibson, Mona Lisa Overdrive>
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Attention-grabbing query:
The demise of Grownup nightlife is one other bizarre factor.
My grandparents gave/attended cocktail events that went till the wee hours till a minimum of their 60s.
Nightclubs have been additionally a factor for adults.
Now American nightlife is lame and tends to finish in a single’s 30s, if not earlier than. https://t.co/eRNylQucFJ pic.twitter.com/ztao3m2B2B
— VB Knives (@Empty_America) April 4, 2024
Sure, I keep in mind my mother and father doing this; cocktails, and so forth. When did these customs die out? When “occasion” grew to become a verb?
Class Warfare
“Folks quasi-randomly assigned to farm rice are extra collectivistic than folks assigned to farm wheat” [Nature]. The Cultural Revolution as a pure experiment (!): “The rice idea of tradition argues that the excessive labor calls for and interdependent irrigation networks of paddy rice farming makes cultures extra collectivistic than wheat-farming cultures. Regardless of prior proof, proving causality is tough as a result of individuals are not randomly assigned to farm rice. On this examine, we benefit from a novel time when the Chinese language authorities quasi-randomly assigned folks to farm rice or wheat in two state farms which might be in any other case practically an identical. The rice farmers present much less individualism, extra loyalty/nepotism towards a pal over a stranger, and extra relational thought model. These outcomes rule out confounds in checks of the rice idea, resembling temperature, latitude, and historic occasions. The variations counsel rice-wheat cultural variations can kind in a single era.” • Fascinating! Through Marginal Revolution, who commented:
It’s lengthy been argued [by, say, The Bearded One] that the means [and mode] of manufacturing affect social, cultural and psychological processes. Rice farming, for instance, requires advanced irrigation methods underneath communal administration and intense, coordinated labor. Thus, it has been argued that profitable rice farming communities are likely to develop folks with collectivist orientations, and cultural methods of considering that emphasize group concord and interdependence. In distinction, wheat farming, which requires much less labor and coordination is related to extra individualistic cultures that worth independence and private autonomy. Implicit in Turner’s Frontier speculation, for instance, is the concept that not solely may a younger man say ‘take this job and shove it’ and go west however as soon as there they might set up a small, viable wheat farm (or different dry crop).
Information of the Wired
I’m not feeling wired immediately.
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Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of crops. Greens are tremendous! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you’d like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:
TH writes: “That is the Cactus Backyard on the Sherman Library and Gardens in Corona Del Mar. It’s bought fairly a range and a few relatively massive specimens. The Spanish structure works particularly effectively with this part of the gardens.” That bench within the shade makes me need to go and sit down….
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So for those who see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible kind. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get frightened. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising targets:
Right here is the display screen that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
When you hate PayPal, you’ll be able to e-mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I offers you instructions on ship a examine. Thanks!
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