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Meta: 3 Reasons to Buy the Stock Ahead of Earnings

January 25, 2024
in Market Analysis
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Meta: 3 Reasons to Buy the Stock Ahead of Earnings

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The corporate’s fundamentals are nearly as good as they’ve ever been and trending in the precise path.
Analysts are falling over themselves to extend their worth targets on Meta shares.
The inventory nonetheless isn’t overbought regardless of all this, although, so there’s a ton of room for an upside transfer.

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:) studies Thursday of subsequent week in what might be one of many extra intently watched studies of the yr up to now. The tech big ended 2023 on a excessive, and its rally has, for probably the most half, continued into 2024, with shares up near 10% on the place they began the yr. Yesterday noticed them set a recent all-time excessive, topping 2021’s effort, so it’s clear expectations are excessive from the road for a knockout report.

Shopping for right into a inventory forward of a recent earnings report may be dangerous enterprise, as earnings are usually binary and infrequently impartial. They’re both thought of ok, and the inventory rallies, or not ok, and the inventory falls. In different instances, when a inventory has rallied to the extent that Meta has, you may be inclined to suppose quite a lot of the upside is already baked into the share worth, and the upcoming report would must be pink scorching to justify even additional beneficial properties. When expectations are so nice, any slip throughout the vary of metrics or perceived unfavourable momentum can spell the top of a rally, so why threat it with Meta?

Effectively, however all of this, we right here at MarketBeat suppose there are nonetheless a number of the reason why it’s price shopping for into Meta forward of their This autumn launch. Listed below are the highest three.

Basic image

For starters, all the important thing basic metrics have been trending in the precise path for a number of quarters now, and this pattern reveals no indicators of stopping. October’s launch noticed them set a document excessive for quarterly income, whereas Meta’s earnings per share elevated for the fourth straight quarter. Bills have been seen persevering with to fall, which helped the corporate’s working revenue additionally hit a document with a 40% soar yr on yr.

That form of momentum doesn’t go away simply, and Meta buyers have good motive to count on extra of the identical this time round, too. The prospect of falling charges this yr, which has solely elevated for the reason that final report, also needs to have an element to play within the firm’s outlook and ahead steering, which is anticipated to return in properly forward of the present consensus amongst analysts.

Bullish analysts

Past Meta’s inside momentum, the exterior consultants are additionally favoring a robust report and extra beneficial properties. This month alone has seen a number of of the Wall Road heavyweights come out bullishly on Meta’s prospects, not simply within the brief time period however by way of 2024 as an entire.

Earlier this month, the staff at Mizuho stated that improved monetization of Meta’s Reels and WhatsApp merchandise ought to end in a optimistic shock when the corporate studies. Analyst James Lee’s worth goal of $470, with its prompt upside of not less than 25% from present ranges, reveals simply how optimistic the shock might be.

In an analogous vein, the staff at Monness Crespi Hardt was additionally bullish with their feedback earlier this month, noting that Meta has skilled a “beautiful reversal of fortunes” that’s set to proceed by way of 2024, with a formidable This autumn report merely the primary milestone.

Over the previous week alone, we’ve seen RBC, JMP Securities, Piper Sandler, and Wells Fargo all reiterate their Purchase or Outperform ranking on Meta shares, with boosted worth targets besides.

Spectacular technical setup

So, with the basics ticking over properly and the analysts positioning for a robust beat, what else is there to love concerning the inventory sufficient to become involved now? Effectively, the technical setup is especially interesting. Meta has been setting a sample of upper highs and better lows for months now whereas not permitting its shares to get too scorching on the similar time. Though the present rally is at a recent excessive, with beneficial properties of greater than 330%, the inventory doesn’t really feel or look overbought.

Its relative power index studying is hovering round 70, so it’s heat to the contact however in a great way. Yesterday’s pull-back from the sooner excessive would have executed it no hurt in any respect and, actually, would have solely strengthened the inventory’s potential to tear into a brand new rally if the outcomes are as scorching as anticipated subsequent week.

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