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Title: The DAX Rises to New Highs, But Will Inflation Allow Further Gains?

February 23, 2024
in Forex
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Title: The DAX Rises to New Highs, But Will Inflation Allow Further Gains?

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The German DAX once more renews its all-time highs after rising an extra 1.58% on Thursday. Within the month of February, the GER40 has risen 3.33% thus far.
The German DAX is being supported by the rise within the international market’s threat urge for food in addition to the expectations of a weaker financial coverage in Europe.
The ECB broadcasts a plan to repay 50% of the curiosity households paid throughout the years 2021-2023.
French financial information beat expectations however the German financial system continues to weaken and present indicators of a attainable recession.

GER40 – Investor Flip Their Consideration To Subsequent Week’s EU Inflation Launch!

The value of the main German Index is buying and selling barely decrease throughout this morning’s Asian and European session, nevertheless, in the long run, technical indicators proceed to level to additional upward worth motion. One of many important components supporting the GER40 is the worldwide investor sentiment which continues to develop as economies stay resilient to restrictive insurance policies and analysts count on regulators to chop rates of interest inside a matter of months. The European Central Financial institution has already made public a brand new scheme which is able to compensate households on decrease incomes whose mortgage funds have risen over the previous two years.

Joachim Nagel, head of the German Federal Financial institution and one of many ECB’s most hawkish members, is because of communicate later this afternoon. Traders shall be scrutinizing all feedback made. Beforehand, Mr Nagel has said it’s too early to think about rate of interest cuts. Nonetheless, will the ECB members take a extra dovish tone after German inflation fell under 3.00% for the primary time in years? Germany, France and Spain will launch their inflation information subsequent Thursday, and Italy on Friday. If the inflation studying is decrease than expectations, the GER40 can once more probably rise.

One more reason why economists consider the ECB could choose to chop rates of interest quickly is the newest PMI information. Each German and UK information learn decrease than expectations which signifies weaker development within the upcoming months. Solely France was in a position to beat the PMI expectations however continues to stay under the important 50.00 mark.

The day’s downward worth motion is simply forming a retracement within the medium-term worth motion. The downward worth motion learn 0.45% earlier than barely shedding momentum. Whatever the downward worth motion, the 75-Bar EMA and RSI proceed to level in direction of consumers sustaining management of the market. When monitoring order stream, the worth is buying and selling under the VWAP, however above earlier important ranges of the amount profile. If the Delta statistics once more rise, order stream can also be more likely to level in direction of a continued upward worth motion. Traders will monitor how the worth motion adjustments as soon as the US session opens.

Based mostly on Fibonacci, if the worth rises above 17,414, purchase alerts will once more materialize. Nonetheless, if the worth declines under 17,367, the worth can proceed to retrace to 17,117 to 17,252. Within the meantime, the primary worth driver shall be feedback from international central banks and Thursday’s inflation studying for Europe. Some analysts advise the important thing issue is for inflation to say no, not essentially to learn decrease than expectations.

The 5 Particular person Shares Inside the DAX With the Strongest Affect!

Siemens AG – +2.88% in 2024
SAP SE – +22.89% in 2024
Allianz SE – +0.65%
Airbus SE – +4.23%
Deutsche Telekom AG – (0.93%)

Michalis Efthymiou

Market Analyst

Disclaimer: This materials is offered as a basic advertising and marketing communication for data functions solely and doesn’t represent an unbiased funding analysis. Nothing on this communication incorporates, or ought to be thought-about as containing, an funding recommendation or an funding advice or a solicitation for the aim of shopping for or promoting of any monetary instrument. All data offered is gathered from respected sources and any data containing a sign of previous efficiency shouldn’t be a assure or dependable indicator of future efficiency. Customers acknowledge that any funding in Leveraged Merchandise is characterised by a sure diploma of uncertainty and that any funding of this nature includes a excessive degree of threat for which the customers are solely accountable and liable. We assume no legal responsibility for any loss arising from any funding made primarily based on the data offered on this communication. This communication should not be reproduced or additional distributed with out our prior written permission.

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