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S&P 500 Just Had Its Best First Quarter in Five Years

April 3, 2024
in Market Analysis
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S&P 500 Just Had Its Best First Quarter in Five Years

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The momentum from a powerful fourth quarter continued into 2024 because the notched the very best first quarter since 2019, returning 10.1% by way of March 28 (U.S. markets had been closed on March 29 for Good Friday).

The inventory markets exceeded most expectations as many analysts and market watchers had been calling for muted development whereas some economists had been speaking a few potential recession. Nevertheless, on the finish of March, all three of the main inventory indexes had been up large, and every set new all-time highs within the quarter.

The S&P 500 completed the quarter up 10.1% at 5,254, whereas the rose 9.1% in Q1 to 16,379. The gained 5.6% within the quarter to hit 39,807, whereas the rose 4.8% to 2,124.

Let’s take a look at a few of the top-performing shares within the first quarter.

NVIDIA Continues Its Run

The highest inventory on the and the second-best performer on the S&P 500 final quarter was semiconductor juggernaut NVIDIA (NASDAQ:). NVIDIA skyrocketed about 83% within the first quarter to hit $903 per share — including to its 239% enhance in 2023. NVIDIA was buoyed by wonderful earnings outcomes, because it set a income report with $2 billion within the fourth quarter and noticed its web revenue climb 765% yr over yr.

NVIDIA’s outlook for Q1 was even higher because it expects to have one other report quarter for income. On high of that, it launched a brand new chip, the Blackwell generative artificial-intelligence (AI) chip, which is its strongest but. NVIDIA is displaying no indicators of slowing down, and it’s nonetheless at an affordable ahead P/E.

Nevertheless, the very best large-cap inventory within the quarter was Tremendous Micro Pc (NASDAQ:), which has one enormous factor in widespread with NVIDIA: AI. Whereas NVIDIA makes the chips which might be outfitted to deal with advanced AI-computing duties, Tremendous Micro Pc, generally referred to as Supermicro, builds the servers that may accommodate high-performance computing and AI at knowledge facilities and for cloud computing, amongst different markets.

Tremendous Micro Pc returned a whopping 242% within the first quarter alone, buying and selling at round $1,010 per share on the finish of March. The inventory obtained a raise from the corporate’s earnings report, which confirmed that its web gross sales had doubled yr over yr to achieve $3.6 billion for the quarter ended Dec. 31. In the meantime, Supermicro’s web revenue climbed 68% to $296 million or $5.10 per diluted share.

Steering for the corporate’s fiscal third quarter ended March 31 requires $3.7 billion to $4.1 billion in web gross sales and diluted EPS of $4.79 to $5.64, so the expansion will not be slowing down. Supermicro has a trailing P/E of 81 however a extra cheap ahead P/E of 33.

Disney Bounces Again

Walt Disney (NYSE:) Co. has had a difficult few years, however it was the very best performer on the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Common within the first quarter, returning 35.4% by way of March 28 to achieve about $122 per share. Within the quarter, Disney obtained a raise from its robust This fall earnings report, by which vital expense reductions lifted its earnings by 49% yr over yr to $1.04 per share.

Extra expense reductions are anticipated in 2024, as Disney has focused a 20% earnings enhance in fiscal 2024 and projected that its struggling streaming enterprise will probably be worthwhile by the top of the yr.

Additionally this previous quarter, Disney introduced the launch of a sports activities streaming service with Fox and Warner Bros Discovery (NASDAQ:) that’s slated to launch within the fall. The corporate additionally acquired a $1.5 billion stake in Epic Video games, which runs the favored online game Fortnite.

In the meantime, Disney has been coping with a proxy battle from activist investor Nelson Peltz of Trian Fund Administration. Peltz has been pushing for adjustments at Disney for greater than a yr and is making an attempt to realize to seats on the board.

The outcomes of the board vote will probably be introduced on Wednesday at Disney’s annual assembly, and as of Tuesday, reviews point out that Trian’s candidates, which embrace Peltz, had been shedding. Keep tuned for the outcomes tomorrow because the assembly may very well be a catalyst for the corporate and its inventory.

Thus, the primary half of the yr was alleged to be difficult with issues enhancing within the second half. Now looking forward to fee cuts within the second half of the yr, the market could also be trending larger in 2024 than many specialists thought.

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