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Market Update – October 18 – Data Fuels Higher-for-Longer Bets

October 22, 2023
in Forex
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Market Update – October 18 – Data Fuels Higher-for-Longer Bets

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Asian equities adopted US shares decrease after sturdy retail knowledge. Treasury yields continued to shoot increased, reaching new cycle peaks. Knowledge revived concern of a fair increased Fed fee stance for a fair longer time period. Implied Fed funds futures climbed and priced in a 53% likelihood for a hike by the tip of January. Nevertheless, the market nonetheless reveals solely a small, lower than 20% likelihood, for a transfer on November 1 since many policymakers have advocated a wait-and-see stance for now. China’s financial system grew 4.9% within the third quarter. A largely constructive report that confirms that China’s financial system has bottomed out, even when the restoration will not be fairly as sturdy as some had hoped.

UK inflation was increased than anticipated, towards expectations for a slight deceleration within the annual fee. Core inflation decelerated to six.1% y/y, the bottom fee since January, however nonetheless a tad increased than markets had anticipated.

USDIndex has nudged right down to 105.75 from a session excessive of 106.32. 
Shares: NVIDIA closed at -4.68%, because the US is proscribing the sale of chips that Nvidia designed particularly for the Chinese language market, a part of sweeping new updates to export curbs. Asian semiconductor shares declined.
USOIL broke $87 on renewed considerations in Center East battle.
Gold rises to 4-week excessive, at 1942.70, as Israel-Hamas battle drives demand for safe-haven property. Israel’s army has bombarded Gaza with air strikes in anticipation of a broadly anticipated floor invasion towards Hamas.
In the present day: US Constructing Permits & FOMC Waller & Harker Speeches.

Fascinating Mover: UK100 retests the neckline of a potential inverse head and shoulder formation, at 7715-7740. A breakout may flip consideration to the 7800 space.

Click on right here to entry our Financial Calendar

Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

Disclaimer: This materials is supplied as a basic advertising and marketing communication for data functions solely and doesn’t represent an unbiased funding analysis. Nothing on this communication incorporates, or needs to be thought of as containing, an funding recommendation or an funding suggestion or a solicitation for the aim of shopping for or promoting of any monetary instrument. All data supplied is gathered from respected sources and any data containing a sign of previous efficiency will not be a assure or dependable indicator of future efficiency. Customers acknowledge that any funding in Leveraged Merchandise is characterised by a sure diploma of uncertainty and that any funding of this nature includes a excessive degree of threat for which the customers are solely accountable and liable. We assume no legal responsibility for any loss arising from any funding made based mostly on the knowledge supplied on this communication. This communication should not be reproduced or additional distributed with out our prior written permission.







Earlier articleKey Commodity Markets Insights
Subsequent articleEURGBP: Cup and Deal with?

Having accomplished her five-year-long research within the UK, Andria Pichidi has been awarded a BSc in Arithmetic and Physics from the College of Bathtub and a MSc diploma in Arithmetic, whereas she holds a postgraduate diploma (PGdip) in Actuarial Science from the College of Leicester.


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