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How I Use Data Analytics in Real Estate Investing

December 27, 2023
in Investing
Reading Time: 8 mins read
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How I Use Data Analytics in Real Estate Investing

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In 2004, I used to be residing in NYC once I determined to begin a brand new profession. To determine potential enterprise alternatives, I thought of a few of the extra irritating experiences I’d had. I shortly narrowed the listing to purchasing funding properties.

The issue was that every one actual property brokers might do was ship me MLS knowledge sheets for the properties I chosen; no analytics, processes, or companies. I needed to do every part myself. This was time-consuming, and I made irritating errors that value me money and time to appropriate later. 

So, there was a enterprise alternative. Now, I must know the place to create this enterprise (not New York or New Jersey).

How I Did My Evaluation

I began researching how retail retailer chains choose areas for brand new shops. Based mostly on my analysis, I made up my mind the sequence of occasions essential for achievement, as proven within the chart.

deal analysis

My first choice was location. Based mostly on my analysis, I chosen Las Vegas.

The following step was to find out the correct tenant pool section to focus on. This step is essential as a result of the one method to have a dependable earnings is that if dependable tenants constantly occupy the property. A dependable tenant stays for a few years, at all times pays the lease on schedule, and takes excellent care of the property.

Based mostly on my expertise with rental properties and what I realized from others, dependable tenants are the exception, not the norm. As a result of my purchasers and I plan to carry these properties for a few years, we’ll want a number of dependable tenants all through the maintain time. The easiest way to extend the possibilities of at all times having a dependable tenant is to buy properties that entice folks from a section with a excessive focus of dependable folks.

Due to this fact, my job was to discover a tenant section with a excessive focus of dependable tenants.

As an engineer, I used the usual strategy of analyzing knowledge. I attempted numerous (paid and free) knowledge units and wrote a whole lot of software program, however (I’d be embarrassed to inform you how lengthy I continued) I lastly determined that basic knowledge evaluation wouldn’t work. The basic downside is that people don’t behave algorithmically. So, I ditched this strategy.

Subsequent, I made a decision to mine historic rental knowledge to grasp previous tenant behaviors. I downloaded about 10 years of MLS rental historical past knowledge and began over. I attempted many issues (that failed), after which I plotted month-to-month lease versus size of keep. 

The consequence was much like the chart, displaying a powerful correlation between how lengthy a tenant stays within the property and the quantity of lease. This was the place to begin I had been looking for.

rent analysis chart

I investigated the section of tenants who stayed over 5 years, changing the low and higher lease vary of properties they occupied to approximate gross month-to-month earnings utilizing month-to-month lease/30% = gross month-to-month wage.

I subsequent interviewed property managers and cruised job boards to find out possible jobs based mostly on gross month-to-month earnings. By doing this, I concluded that individuals incomes beneath a sure wage tended to have lower-skilled jobs, which made them susceptible to layoffs throughout financial downturns. Due to this fact, I raised the lower-income threshold above this wage.

I subsequent seemed on the upper-end earnings vary and decided that jobs above a sure wage have been primarily administrative. These employees would even be laid off throughout financial downturns. So, I lowered the upper-income threshold beneath this wage degree.

The consequence was a slim wage/lease vary that I believed to have safe jobs as a result of nature of their work, as proven within the chart.

target tenant segment

Every tenant section has particular housing necessities and is unlikely to lease a property if it doesn’t meet all their necessities. So in case you purchase a property that matches the housing necessities of a selected tenant section, a lot of the candidates shall be from that section.

Making a Property Profile

To find out the traits of properties that will entice my goal tenant section, I used knowledge analytics to find out what and the place they lease at present. From this, I created what I confer with as a property profile. 

A property profile is a bodily description of the properties that this section is at the moment renting. It has at the very least 4 components:

Location: The areas the place important percentages of the goal section are renting at present.
Property kind: What kind of properties are they renting at present? Apartment, high-rise, multifamily, single-family?
Hire vary: What the section is prepared and in a position to pay.
Configuration: Two bedrooms, three-car storage, giant yard, single-story, two tales?

I ran correlations between properties recognized by the property profile and precise historic rental knowledge and located a excessive correlation between the 2. After so lengthy, I believed I had what I wanted.

After which actuality got here crashing down.

The problem was that quite a few new listings entered the market day by day, and essentially the most fascinating properties usually went underneath contract inside two to 3 days. This left us solely 24 to 36 hours after a property was listed to determine it as a possible possibility, consider it, collect analytical data, and submit a proposal.

Doing this course of manually for lots of of properties every day was not possible. So, as soon as once more, I turned to knowledge analytics.

Our Information Mining Engine

I’ve labored on knowledge mining engines for funding property choice since 2007. All of the algorithms I attempted have been much like what Rentometer, Zillow, and Opendoor have been utilizing, which was not practically ok to make buy choices. 

Lastly, round 2015, I found a really totally different methodology to search out good properties. I’m nonetheless enhancing that software program to this present day.

Our knowledge mining engine structure is illustrated right here.

data mining engine

After years of enhancements, the engine can now discover the small variety of potential funding properties from amongst 1000’s in lower than 5 minutes.

Nonetheless, knowledge analytics can solely go to this point as a result of software program solely offers with knowledge, and we’re coping with people.

I subsequent put collectively a staff and processes that took the output of the information mining engine and chosen properties that matched particular person purchasers’ necessities. These properties are then rigorously evaluated by a staff of consultants, as illustrated within the chart.

data mining engine 2

Provided that a property matches the consumer’s necessities and passes analysis by a number of staff members will we ship the consumer a property report containing the analytical data they should make an knowledgeable choice. Resulting from our software program, processes, and staff members, we will consider quite a few properties in a single day and current our purchasers with actionable data on properties that match their particular person profiles inside that very same day.

Our purchasers really feel our knowledge analytics and processes are efficient.

Last Ideas

Information analytics and processes are the cornerstone of our enterprise. With out knowledge analytics, we couldn’t discover the properties wanted to fulfill our consumer’s particular monetary objectives. Additionally, we couldn’t consider properties quick sufficient to make affords earlier than they have been gone.

Analyze Offers Like a Professional

Deal evaluation is without doubt one of the first and most crucial steps of actual property investing. Maximize your confidence in every take care of this first-ever final information to deal evaluation. Actual Property by the Numbers makes actual property math straightforward, and makes actual property success inevitable.

real estate by the numbers

Prepared to reach actual property investing? Create a free BiggerPockets account to study funding methods; ask questions and get solutions from our group of +2 million members; join with investor-friendly brokers; and a lot extra.

Be aware By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the creator and don’t essentially characterize the opinions of BiggerPockets.

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