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S&P 500: Key Factors to Watch for a Local Top as Index Approaches 5,000 Milestone

February 9, 2024
in Market Analysis
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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S&P 500: Key Factors to Watch for a Local Top as Index Approaches 5,000 Milestone

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Michael Kramer

I have to say that writing as of late is an actual problem, and yesterday was a kind of days, principally as a result of it was simply extra of the identical with the troubling three persevering with to steer the cost.

There may be simply nothing else to say there.

Is it a rising wedge that’s forming within the ? It appears like one. Does it imply something? Undecided.

The definition of a rising wedge is a bearish sample that begins large on the backside and contracts because it strikes greater. So, it suits that definition.

S&P 500 Index-Hourly Chart

S&P 500 Index-Hourly Chart

On high of that, we now have divergences in all places, most notably within the . It has actually been the case when trying on the inverse of the .

USD/CHF-3-Hour Chart

The inverse of the 1-month implied correlation index can be getting into the other way of the S&P 500.

1-Month Implied Correlation Index

1-Month Implied Correlation Index

In the meantime, there was a divergence between the S&P 500 and junk bond ETF.

HYG-Daily Chart

There was a time when reserve balances even mattered, and thus far, these have stopped going greater as properly.

US Treasury Cash Balance

Monetary situations have even stopped easing.

CDX Index

Even the variety of shares above their 50-day transferring common has been diverging.

SPX-Daily Chart

So, until the fairness market has discovered a technique to decouple itself from charges, the greenback, monetary situations, and every thing else, the madness of the final 4 months needs to be about over. I’ve nothing left so as to add.

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Tags: ApproachesFactorsIndexKeylocalmilestoneTopWatch
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